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⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) - Corporate Briefing Presentation Revised - FoxLogica

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO’s corporate briefing presentation provides an overview of the company’s performance and future outlook. The company is pursuing diversification plans, including a potential acquisition of a stake in Attock Cement and bidding for K-Electric solar projects. Key financial data includes balance sheet and profit & loss account information. The operational timeline extends the generation license and tariff agreements.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ✅ KAPCO’s 25-year PPA extended to Oct-22 following settlement of LDs.
  • ✅ Generation License for 495 MW extended for 3 years in April 2025.
  • ✅ TPPA signed for 3 years in June 2025.
  • ✅ NEPRA issued final generation tariff for 495 MW in September 2025.
  • ✅ GT-3 & GT-4 sold for Rs. 800 million; dismantling by February 2026.
  • ✅ Management evaluating CTBCM option for a block of power generation.
  • ✅ Hybrid Take or Pay (ROE firmed upto 25% load factor).
  • ✅ Total Dividend Payments since 1996: Rs. 168 Billion (Rs. 191.04/share).
  • ✅ Total Dividend payment since listing in 2005 Rs. 132 Billion (Rs. 150.35/share).
  • ✅ KAPCO has paid ~ Rs. 73.20 Billion in Taxes.
  • ✅ KAPCO invested approximately Rs. 41 billion in Mutual Funds as of June 30, 2025, for diversification.
  • ✅ Joint bid with Fauji Foundation to acquire 84.06% stake in Attock Cement (42.03% each).
  • ✅ NEPRA approval pending for K-Electric solar projects: 150 MW in Sindh, 120 MW in Karachi.
  • ✅ Bid tariff for solar projects: 9.8319 PKR/kWh (3.4061 Cents/kWh).

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. KAPCO faces challenges in maintaining profitability due to changing market conditions. The company’s diversification plans represent a potential upside but require further evaluation. The stock’s price target should reflect the uncertainty of the diversification initiatives. We await further detail.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

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