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⏸️ FATIMA: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Report for the Period Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited’s report for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, reveals a mixed performance. While the company increased its fertilizer offtake by 8.6% despite a market decline, its gross profit receded slightly due to increased gas costs and inflationary pressures. Consolidated sales revenue increased by 5% to Rs 178.80 billion. However, the company achieved a 27% increase in consolidated profit after tax due to a reduction in the effective tax rate.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ⬆️ Fertilizer offtake increased by 8.6% despite a market decline.
  • 📉 Gross profit receded slightly due to increased gas costs and inflationary pressures.
  • 💰 Consolidated sales revenue increased by 5% to Rs 178.80 billion.
  • ✅ Consolidated profit after tax increased by 27% due to a reduction in the effective tax rate from 45% to 37%.
  • 🏭 Combined fertilizer production achieved was 2,131K MT compared to 2,141K MT in the prior year.
  • 🌍 Sales volume for the nine months stood at 1,828K MT, compared to 1,684K MT in the prior year.
  • 📊 Distribution costs increased by 27% due to high storage and network expansion costs.
  • 📈 Other income almost doubled due to higher return on investments.
  • 🏢 Consolidated Profit before Tax of Rs 46.07 billion, a 12% increase over Rs 41.23 billion.
  • 💸 Earnings per share (EPS) increased to Rs 13.77 compared to Rs 10.84.
  • 🌱 The company managed to increase its offtake by gaining 4.5% market share.
  • 🤝 Scheme of Arrangement/Reconstruction for carving out of Multan Plant related operations is in progress.

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD: Given the mixed financial performance with increased revenue offset by rising costs, and pending scheme of arrangement, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The company faces operational and market risks that could impact future performance.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

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