FoxLogica

⏸️ GEMPAPL: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Report for the Period Ended 30 September 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Pak Agro Packaging Limited’s report for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, indicates a marginal 3.6% increase in sales revenue compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by fishing net sales offsetting reduced agricultural sector demand due to recent floods and economic difficulties faced by farmers. Gross profit margin significantly decreased to 10.96% from 13.4% due to rising raw material costs that couldn’t be fully passed onto customers. Profit after tax declined to Rs 8.70 million from Rs 10.4 million, resulting in a slightly lower EPS of 0.43 paisa compared to 0.52 paisa last year. The company remains hopeful for improved sales in the coming quarters to meet its annual revenue target.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 1. 📉 Sales revenue increased by a modest 3.6% year-over-year, reaching Rs 229.47 million.
  • 2. 🎣 Fishing net sales partially offset the decrease in agricultural sector sales.
  • 3. 😔 Profitability remained below targets due to market challenges.
  • 4. 🌾 Economic difficulties faced by farmers are impacting demand.
  • 5. 🏭 Increased competition from smaller companies affects market share.
  • 6. 💹 Stability in the value of the Pakistani Rupee provided some relief in raw material pricing.
  • 7. ⚠️ Gross profit margin declined to 10.96% from 13.4% in the comparable quarter.
  • 8. ⬆️ Total current assets increased by 13.1%, improving operational capacity.
  • 9. 📉 Profit before tax (PBT) decreased to Rs 12.25 million from Rs 14.6 million.
  • 10. 📉 Profit after tax (PAT) decreased to Rs 8.70 million from Rs 10.4 million.
  • 11. 📉 Earnings per share (EPS) fell slightly to 43 paisa from 52 paisa.
  • 12. 💰 All IPO funds were fully utilized by the end of September 2022.
  • 13. ⬆️ Capital expenditure increased to Rs 1.846 million compared to Rs 2.611 million.
  • 14. 🏦 Short term bank borrowings decreased to Rs 74.472 million from Rs 109.623 million.
  • 15. ⚖️ Contingencies and commitments, as well as management quality, are not disclosed in this report.

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. The company faces significant headwinds due to external economic factors and sector-specific challenges, leading to reduced profitability. While efforts to diversify into fishing nets are positive, they haven’t fully offset the core business issues. The decrease in EPS and declining gross profit margin raise concerns. A price target revision would require evidence of sustained revenue growth, improved cost management, and a recovery in the agricultural sector. Time horizon: Medium-term (6-12 months) to assess the effectiveness of strategic adjustments and market recovery.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

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