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⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Financial Results of NBP Islamic Government Securities Fund – I for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Islamic Government Securities Fund – I (NIGSP-III) reported its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The fund size decreased by 10% from Rs. 2,807 million to Rs. 2,533 million. The unit price increased from Rs. 10.0433 to Rs. 10.2667, translating to an 8.8% annualized return, underperforming its benchmark return of 10.0%. The fund earned a total income of Rs. 68.20 million and a net income of Rs. 57.73 million after expenses.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Fund size decreased by 10%, from Rs. 2,807 million to Rs. 2,533 million.
  • 📈 Unit price increased from Rs. 10.0433 to Rs. 10.2667.
  • 📊 Annualized return of 8.8%, compared to a benchmark return of 10.0%.
  • 💰 Total income earned during the period was Rs. 68.20 million.
  • ✅ Net income after deducting expenses was Rs. 57.73 million.
  • 🏛️ Policy rate maintained at 11% by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to contain inflation.
  • Inflation increased to 5.6% in September, from 3.0% in August.
  • 📉 Average inflation for Q1 eased to 4.2%, down from 9.2% last year.
  • 🎯 Average inflation for FY26 is projected to remain within the SBP’s 5%-7% target range.
  • 🌳 Real GDP growth for FY26 is projected between 3.0% and 3.5%.
  • deficit stood at USD 624 million for July-August.
  • reserves stood at USD 14.4 billion on September 26th.
  • The fund is categorized as a Shariah Compliant Income Fund with a stability rating of ‘AA (f)’ by PACRA.

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. The fund provides stable, if unspectacular, returns. While the fund’s underperformance is concerning, its low-risk profile and Shariah compliance may be attractive to certain investors. Further analysis is needed to determine if the fund’s strategy can be improved to meet or exceed its benchmark.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

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