β‘ Flash Summary
HBLβs 9Mβ25 performance showcases resilience with a 31% growth in Profit Before Tax (PBT) compared to the last year. The bank has maintained its leadership position in core segments, boasting the largest customer base in Pakistan. Key drivers include a strong capital base, rising ROE levels, and successful digital-led initiatives. Deposit acquisition has regained momentum in 2025, and the investment portfolio is well-positioned to achieve optimal returns.
π Key Takeaways
- π° 9Mβ25 PBT grew by 31% YoY.
- π¦ Total deposits increased by PKR 713 Bn since Decβ24.
- π CA deposits increased by PKR 371 Bn since Decβ24.
- β NII increased by 11% YoY.
- πΌ Investment portfolio stands at PKR 4.0 Tn (3rd largest).
- π Total CAR at 18.32%, up 62bps since Decβ24.
- π International deposits increased by USD 110 Mn since Decβ24.
- π± Digital payments are up 34% YoY.
- π³ Mobile banking payments crossed Rs 8 Tn, a 47% YoY increase.
- π¦ Domestic CA recorded YoY increase of 23% (incremental deposit of Rs. 264 Bn).
- πΌ Capital gains of Rs. 14 Bn in 9Mβ25 compared to Rs. 6.6Bn in 9Mβ24.
- π HBL has 1,640 branches in Pakistan, including 458 Islamic branches (2nd largest).
- β Highest Deposits at Rs 5T with 16% Growth v Decβ²24
- β Leadership in cards β 6.7M card base
- β Leadership in Branchless Banking
π― Investment Thesis
HBLβs strong financial performance, market leadership, and digital initiatives make it a BUY. The bankβs robust growth in PBT, deposits, and digital payments, coupled with efficient cost management and capital gains, demonstrate its ability to deliver consistent earnings and shareholder value. Buy with a price target of PKR 350 within the next 12-18 months.
Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.