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FTSM - FoxLogica

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⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Presentation for Corporate Briefing Session

⚡ Flash Summary

First Tri-Star Modaraba’s corporate briefing session for 2025 reveals a mixed financial performance. The company’s authorized and paid-up capital stand at PKR 400 million and PKR 212 million respectively, with equity of Modaraba at Rs. 411 million as of June 30, 2024. Net loss increased significantly in 2025, reaching (13,613,277) compared to a profit of 506,883 in 2024. This resulted in a negative earnings per share of (0.710) in 2025. The presentation highlights the vision for future growth through its educational institution and international collaborations.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🏢 First Tri-Star Modaraba was formed in 1980 and is managed by A.R.T. Modaraba Management (Private) Limited.
  • 🇵🇰 The company is listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited.
  • Authorized capital is PKR 400 million, and paid-up capital is PKR 212 million.
  • 💰 Equity of Modaraba is Rs. 411 million as of June 30, 2024.
  • 📉 Net loss for the year 2025 is (13,613,277) compared to a profit of 506,883 in 2024.
  • 📉 Accumulated Profit/(Loss) decreased from 96,110,458 in 2024 to 38,754,359 in 2025.
  • 📉 Operating Profit/Loss Ratio decreased from 0.02 in 2024 to (0.38) in 2025.
  • 📉 Net Profit/Loss Ratio decreased from 0.05:1 in 2024 to (0.42):1 in 2025.
  • 📊 Earning/(Loss) Per Share decreased from 0.080 in 2024 to (0.710) in 2025.
  • 📊 Breakup value per Share decreased from 19.41 in 2024 to 16.70 in 2025.
  • 💵 Reserves decreased from 199,102,738 in 2024 to 141,746,639 in 2025.
  • 🤝 The company is running an educational institution (Imperial Tutorial College) and collaborating with Nişantaşı University, Turkey.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the current financial performance and associated risks, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for First Tri-Star Modaraba. The significant net loss, declining profitability ratios, and reduced shareholder value indicators raise concerns about the company’s short-term prospects. While the company’s educational initiatives and international collaborations present potential growth opportunities, the current financial instability outweighs these positives. A price target cannot be reliably established due to the volatility and negative earnings. The time horizon for this recommendation is medium-term, pending significant improvements in financial performance and profitability.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 11, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Board Meeting

⚡ Flash Summary

FTSM announced: Board Meeting. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • FTSM made announcement: Board Meeting
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for FTSM. Manual verification required.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Resolution Passed in ARM

⚡ Flash Summary

First Tri-Star Modaraba (FTSM) announced the adoption of the audited accounts for the year ended June 30, 2025, following the Annual Review Meeting held on October 28, 2025. The resolution, pursuant to clause 5.6.9(b) of the PSX Regulations, includes the Directors’ and Auditors’ Report. This announcement indicates the completion of the financial review process and signifies compliance with regulatory requirements. Further analysis of the audited accounts is needed to understand the financial health and performance of the Modaraba.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ✅ Audited accounts for the year ended June 30, 2025, have been adopted.
  • 🗓️ The adoption occurred at the Annual Review Meeting held on October 28, 2025.
  • 📜 The resolution complies with clause 5.6.9(b) of the PSX Regulations.
  • 💼 The Directors’ and Auditors’ Report is included in the adopted accounts.
  • 🏢 The announcement was made by First Tri-Star Modaraba.
  • 📍 The company is managed by A.R.T. Modaraba Management (Pvt) Ltd.
  • 🇵🇰 The company’s registered address is in Karachi, Pakistan.
  • 📞 Contact information includes phone numbers (021) 34370475-7 and (021) 34370470.
  • 📧 The company’s email address is modaraba@tristar.com.pk.
  • ℹ️ The adoption of accounts signifies the completion of a financial review period.
  • 👍 This is a routine but necessary compliance step for listed entities.
  • 🔍 Investors should review the actual audited accounts for financial performance details.
  • ⚠️ No specific financial figures are provided in the announcement itself.
  • 🧐 Further analysis is required to assess the impact on FTSM’s valuation.
  • 🚦 The current announcement provides no immediate signal for significant investment changes.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based solely on this announcement, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The adoption of audited accounts is a routine event, and without access to the actual financials, there’s no basis to change an investment stance. The price target remains unchanged until a review of the financial statements reveals new information.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended 2025-09-30

⚡ Flash Summary

First Tri-Star Modaraba’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, show a mixed performance. Revenue from academic activities decreased significantly compared to the same period last year, while operating profit increased due to other income. The company reported a higher profit before taxation, and earnings per certificate also increased. The statement of financial position shows an increase in total assets and equity compared to the previous quarter.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • Revenue from academic activities decreased from Rs 22,267,261 in September 2024 to Rs 15,270,000 in September 2025 📉.
  • Administrative expenses decreased from Rs 10,000,591 to Rs 8,433,175 📉.
  • Other income increased significantly from Rs 6,471 to Rs 14,058,204 🚀.
  • Financial charges increased from Rs 392,974 to Rs 736,745 📈.
  • Operating profit increased from Rs 11,880,167 to Rs 20,158,284 🚀.
  • Profit before levy and taxation increased from Rs 11,880,167 to Rs 20,158,284 🚀.
  • Levy increased significantly from Rs 277,819 to Rs 2,299,606 📈.
  • Profit before taxation increased from Rs 11,602,348 to Rs 17,858,679 🚀.
  • Earnings per certificate increased from Rs 0.55 to Rs 0.84 🚀.
  • Total Assets increased from Rs 586,596,073 to Rs 607,924,497 🚀.
  • Cash and bank balances increased significantly from Rs 2,993,562 to Rs 25,432,670 🚀.
  • Total certificate holders’ equity increased from Rs 353,377,679 to Rs 371,236,358 🚀.
  • No cash dividend/Bonus/Rights/Any other entitlement was recommended by the board 🕳️.
  • Cash generated from operating activities decreased from Rs 15,564,257 to Rs 8,380,904 📉.
  • Cash and cash equivalent at the end of the year increased from Rs 15,116,886 to Rs 25,432,670 🚀.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the mixed financial performance, with decreased revenue growth offset by increased profitability and a stronger balance sheet, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The price target rationale is based on the potential for earnings growth driven by other income sources, but tempered by concerns over core revenue decline. A price target of Rs 10.00 is set, assuming a modest multiple on earnings. The time horizon is MEDIUM_TERM, as the company’s strategy needs to be further analyzed.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Financial Statements for the Period Ended 2025-09-30

⚡ Flash Summary

FTSM announced: Transmission of Quarterly Financial Statements for the Period Ended 2025-09-30. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • FTSM made announcement: Transmission of Quarterly Financial Statements for the Period Ended 2025-09-30
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for FTSM. Manual verification required.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Transmission of Annual Report for the Year Ended 2025-06-30

⚡ Flash Summary

FTSM announced: Transmission of Annual Report for the Year Ended 2025-06-30. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • FTSM made announcement: Transmission of Annual Report for the Year Ended 2025-06-30
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for FTSM. Manual verification required.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: October 7, 2025

⏸️ FTSM: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Notice of Annual Review Meeting

⚡ Flash Summary

First Tri-Star Modaraba has announced its Twenty Sixth Annual Review Meeting for certificate holders. The meeting will take place on October 28, 2025, in Karachi. Certificate transfer books will be closed from October 23 to October 30, 2025. This closure impacts the eligibility to attend the Annual Review Meeting, as transfers must be registered by October 22, 2025.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🗓️ The 26th Annual Review Meeting is scheduled for October 28, 2025.
  • 📍 The meeting will be held in Karachi.
  • 🕒 The meeting starts at 9:30 am.
  • 📚 Certificate transfer books will be closed from October 23-30, 2025.
  • 📝 Transfers must be received by October 22, 2025, to be considered for meeting attendance.
  • 🏢 Share Registrar’s office is the point of contact for transfers.
  • 📜 The announcement is made ‘By Order of the Board’.
  • 💼 Addressed to the Certificate Holders of First Tri-Star Modaraba.
  • 📅 The notice is dated October 6, 2025.
  • 📍 The location of the meeting is F/538, S.I.T.E., Karachi

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the lack of financial information in this announcement, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. Further analysis based on the company’s financial performance and strategic direction is needed to form a concrete investment thesis.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: October 7, 2025

📉 FTSM: SELL Signal (8/10) – Financial Results for the Year Ended 2025-06-30

⚡ Flash Summary

First Tri-Star Modaraba reported a loss for the year ended June 30, 2025, contrasting with a profit in the previous year. The company experienced a significant decrease in operating profit and a substantial loss after taxation, primarily driven by increased administrative expenses and financial charges. Despite a rise in income from academic activities, the company’s profitability suffered. The balance sheet shows a slight increase in total assets, but a decrease in certificate holders’ equity due to the current year’s loss.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 8/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 First Tri-Star Modaraba reported a loss of PKR 15.03 million for the year ended June 30, 2025, compared to a profit of PKR 1.66 million in 2024.
  • 📉 Loss per certificate (basic and diluted) stood at PKR (0.71) in 2025, against earnings of PKR 0.08 in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Income from academic activities increased to PKR 36.18 million in 2025 from PKR 34.83 million in 2024, a 3.9% rise.
  • ⬆️ Administrative expenses surged to PKR 56.78 million in 2025 from PKR 33.07 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Financial charges increased to PKR 2.11 million in 2025 from PKR 1.91 million in 2024.
  • ⬇️ Operating loss amounted to PKR 13.61 million in 2025, compared to an operating profit of PKR 0.58 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Other comprehensive income increased substantially to PKR 53.97 million in 2025 from PKR 38.42 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Total assets increased to PKR 586.60 million in 2025 from PKR 565.31 million in 2024.
  • ⬇️ Certificate holders’ equity decreased to PKR 353.38 million in 2025 from PKR 410.73 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Surplus on revaluation of investments increased to PKR 89.04 million in 2025 from PKR 35.07 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Short-term investments increased to PKR 0.49 million in 2025 from PKR 0.39 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Cash and bank balances increased to PKR 2.99 million in 2025 from PKR 1.61 million in 2024.
  • ⬆️ Accrued and other liabilities increased to PKR 43.01 million in 2025 from PKR 29.51 million in 2024.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the loss reported, the rising administrative costs, and the overall negative trajectory, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company’s financial performance raises significant concerns about its ability to generate sustainable profits. While the increase in assets looks good, liability is a real concern. In the absence of a clear turnaround strategy and considering the limited information about the Modaraba’s operations and sector, the downside risk outweighs any potential upside. I’d avoid the stock with a target price of PKR 7 which will be book value, which is unlikely to be achieved in the short term, considering the current financials and a time horizon of 6-12 months.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: October 6, 2025