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NBP-FUNDS - FoxLogica

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Financial Results of NBP Money Market Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Money Market Fund (NMMF) reported its financials for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The fund experienced a decrease in size by 17% from Rs. 120,292 million to Rs. 99,374 million. Despite the decrease in fund size, the unit price increased from Rs. 10.0328 on June 30, 2025, to Rs. 10.2800 on September 30, 2025. The fund generated a total income of Rs. 3,168.76 million and net income of Rs. 2,815.37 million after deducting expenses.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Fund Size Reduction: NMMF’s size decreased by 17%, from Rs. 120,292 million to Rs. 99,374 million.
  • 📈 Unit Price Increase: Unit price rose from Rs. 10.0328 to Rs. 10.2800 during the quarter.
  • 📊 Return: The fund showed a return of 9.8% p.a., compared to the benchmark return of 10.7% p.a.
  • 💰 Total Income: The Fund earned a total income of Rs. 3,168.76 million.
  • 💸 Net Income: After expenses of Rs. 353.39 million, the net income was Rs. 2,815.37 million.
  • 🏦 Policy Rate: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained the policy rate at 11%.
  • 📉 Average Inflation: Average inflation for Q1 FY26 eased to 4.2%, down from 9.2% last year.
  • 🎯 FY26 Inflation Target: Average inflation for FY26 is projected to remain within the SBP’s 5%-7% target range.
  • 🌱 GDP Growth: Real GDP growth for FY26 is projected between 3.0% and 3.5%.
  • ✔️ Current Account Deficit: The current account deficit was USD 624 million for July-August.
  • 💹 Forex Reserves: Foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 14.4 billion on September 26th.
  • 🥇 Stability Rating: NMMF’s stability rating by PACRA is ‘AA (f)’.
  • 📜 Investment Guidelines: The Fund has strict investment guidelines and invests in T-Bills, Bank Deposits, and Money Market instruments.
  • ⏳ Maturity Limit: The Fund is not allowed to invest in any security exceeding six months maturity, with weighted average time to maturity capped at 90 days.

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. Given the stability rating of ‘AA (f)’ awarded by PACRA, NMMF remains a relatively safe investment option for risk-averse investors seeking steady returns. While the fund size decreased, its ability to generate positive net income is encouraging. The fund underperformed its benchmark which is a cause for concern. Monitor the fund’s performance relative to its benchmark and peer funds to assess whether it remains a competitive option for investors. The fund is managed by NBP Funds which is rated AM1 by PACRA.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (7/10) – Financial Results of NBP Mustahkam Fund – II for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Mustahkam Fund – II reported its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The fund’s size increased by 2% to Rs. 4,651 million and Rs. 8,721 million for NFTMP-XIX and NFTMP-XVA, respectively. The unit price also experienced growth, leading to returns of 9.8% p.a. and 10.1% p.a. as compared to its benchmark return of 13.2% p.a. and 11.0% p.a. The fund maintains its investment strategy in fixed-income instruments to provide potentially higher returns.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📈 **Fund Size Growth:** NBP Mustahkam Fund – II’s size increased by 2% for both NFTMP-XIX and NFTMP-XVA.
  • 💰 **Asset Under Management (AUM):** NFTMP-XIX reached Rs. 4,651 million and NFTMP-XVA reached Rs. 8,721 million.
  • 📊 **Unit Price Appreciation:** The unit price increased, reflecting positive market performance.
  • ⭐ **Return on Investment (ROI):** NFTMP-XIX showed a return of 9.8% p.a.
  • ✔ **Benchmark Comparison:** NFTMP-XIX benchmark return was 13.2% p.a.
  • 💹 **Return on Investment (ROI):** NFTMP-XVA showed a return of 10.1% p.a.
  • ✔ **Benchmark Comparison:** NFTMP-XVA benchmark return was 11.0% p.a.
  • 🎯 **Investment Strategy:** Primarily invests in Fixed Income instruments for specific duration.
  • 🏛️ **Government Securities:** The plan strategically invests in government securities aligned with the plan’s maturity.
  • 📜 **Total Income (NFTMP-XIX):** NFTMP-XIX earned a total income of Rs. 117 million during the period.
  • ➖ **Total Expenses (NFTMP-XIX):** NFTMP-XIX experienced total expenses of Rs. 5 million.
  • 📜 **Net Income (NFTMP-XIX):** NFTMP-XIX net income totaled Rs. 112 million.
  • 📜 **Total Income (NFTMP-XVA):** NFTMP-XVA earned a total income of Rs. 224 million during the period.
  • ➖ **Total Expenses (NFTMP-XVA):** NFTMP-XVA experienced total expenses of Rs. 7 million.
  • 📜 **Net Income (NFTMP-XVA):** NFTMP-XVA net income totaled Rs. 217 million.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the fund’s growth, consistent performance, and focus on fixed-income, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. While the returns are below the benchmark, the fund provides a stable investment option. If the fund performance improves and meets or exceeds its benchmark, a BUY recommendation might be warranted. Continue to HOLD the NBP Mustahkam fund to allow the fund managers time to correct any portfolio issues. A potential price target is difficult to quantify without more granular information. Re-evaluate in Q1 2026.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Financial Results of NBP Mustahkam Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Mustahkam Fund’s report for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, reveals a mixed performance. The fund’s NBP Fixed Term Munafa Plan – IVA increased in size by 3% to Rs. 10,789 million, with a unit price increase reflecting a 10.6% p.a. return, underperforming its benchmark of 12.2%. The NBP Fixed Term Munafa Plan – IIB closed at Rs. 13,316 million, achieving a 10.7% p.a. return against a benchmark of 10.8%. Overall, macroeconomic conditions are stabilizing with SBP prioritizing price stability.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📈 NBP Mustahkam Fund – NBP Fixed Term Munafa Plan – IVA (NFTMP-IVA) size increased by 3% to Rs. 10,789 million.
  • 💰 Unit price of NFTMP-IVA increased to Rs. 10.2749, showing a return of 10.6% p.a.
  • 📉 NFTMP-IVA’s return underperformed its benchmark of 12.2% p.a.
  • 💸 NFTMP-IVA earned a total income of Rs. 287.97 million during the year.
  • Expenses of NFTMP-IVA were Rs. 8.48 million, resulting in a net income of Rs. 279.49 million.
  • 📊 NFTMP-IVA’s assets are heavily allocated to T-Bills (101.60%).
  • 🏦 NBP Mustahkam Fund – NBP Fixed Term Munafa Plan – IIB (NFTMP-IIB) closed at Rs. 13,316 million.
  • ⭐ Unit price of NFTMP-IIB increased to Rs. 10.0759, showing a return of 10.7% p.a.
  • ✅ NFTMP-IIB’s return closely tracked its benchmark of 10.8% p.a.
  • 💸 NFTMP-IIB earned a total income of Rs. 123.65 million during the year.
  • Expenses of NFTMP-IIB were Rs. 3.43 million, resulting in a net income of Rs. 120.22 million.
  • 💯 NFTMP-IIB’s assets are entirely allocated to Cash Equivalents & Other Net Assets (AAA).
  • ✔️ The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained the policy rate at 11% to contain inflation.
  • Inflation rose to 5.6% in September, but the average for Q1 eased to 4.2%.
  • Foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 14.4 billion on September 26th.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the slightly underperforming IVA plan compared to its benchmark, alongside the IIB plan tracking its benchmark closely, and considering the stabilizing macroeconomic environment, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for NBP Mustahkam Fund. Further improvements in investment strategy and macroeconomic conditions may warrant a more positive outlook. With more details about the portfolio’s holdings, a stronger assessment could be determined. It would be more suitable for risk adverse investors.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Financial Results of NBP Riba Free Savings Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Riba Free Savings Fund (NRFSF) reported its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The fund’s size decreased by 28% from Rs. 31,620 million to Rs. 22,613 million. The unit price increased from Rs. 10.3479 on June 30, 2025, to Rs. 10.5985 on September 30, 2025, showing a return of 9.6% p.a. The fund earned a total income of Rs. 606.26 million, with a net income of Rs. 547.98 million after deducting expenses.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 **Fund Size Contraction:** The fund’s size decreased by 28%, from Rs. 31,620 million to Rs. 22,613 million.
  • 📈 **Unit Price Appreciation:** Unit price increased from Rs. 10.3479 (June 30, 2025) to Rs. 10.5985 (September 30, 2025).
  • ✅ **Competitive Return:** The fund generated a 9.6% p.a. return, compared to a benchmark of 9.5% p.a.
  • 💰 **Total Income:** The fund earned a total income of Rs. 606.26 million during the quarter.
  • 💸 **Net Income:** After deducting expenses of Rs. 58.28 million, the net income amounted to Rs. 547.98 million.
  • 📊 **Cash Allocation:** Cash equivalents and other net assets constitute 81.86% of the fund’s asset allocation.
  • 📜 **Sukuk Holdings:** Corporate Sukuk Certificates account for 8.38% of the fund’s asset allocation.
  • 🤝 **Musharakah Investments:** Certificates of Musharakah represent 9.76% of the fund’s asset allocation.
  • 🏦 **Policy Rate Maintained:** The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained the policy rate at 11%.
  • 📉 **Inflation Easing:** Average inflation for Q1 eased to 4.2%, down from 9.2% last year.
  • 🎯 **FY26 Inflation Target:** Average inflation for FY26 is projected within SBP’s 5%-7% target range.
  • 🌱 **GDP Growth Projection:** Real GDP growth for FY26 is projected between 3.0% and 3.5%.
  • ✔️ **Current Account Deficit:** Current account deficit was USD 624 million for July-August.
  • 💵 **Forex Reserves:** Foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 14.4 billion on September 26th.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the fund’s contraction in size, conservative asset allocation, and competitive returns, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The fund is suitable for risk-averse investors seeking stable returns in line with Islamic finance principles. Further analysis is needed to assess the reasons behind the fund’s size decrease and potential for future growth. The current price of 10.5985, considering the 9.6% return, seems fair. However, without a deeper analysis of the sector and more detailed financial ratios, a more specific valuation is not possible. Target price: Maintain current price. The fund seems to be trading near par.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📈 NBP-FUNDS: BUY Signal (7/10) – Financial Results of NBP Sarmaya Izafa Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Sarmaya Izafa Fund (NSIF) reported an increase in fund size from Rs. 759 million to Rs. 981 million during the quarter ended September 30, 2025, representing a growth of 29.0%. The unit price increased by 30.4%, outperforming its benchmark by 0.1%. Since its inception, the fund has shown an impressive increase of 1208.3%, significantly outperforming its benchmark by 316%. The fund’s total income was reported as Rs. 237.77 million, with a net income of Rs. 228.82 million after deducting expenses.

Signal: BUY 📈
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📈 Fund size increased by 29.0%, reaching Rs. 981 million.
  • 💰 Unit price rose by 30.4%, from Rs. 29.7753 to Rs. 38.8307.
  • 🥇 Outperformed benchmark by 0.1% during the quarter.
  • 🚀 Since inception, the fund’s NAV increased by 1208.3%.
  • 💹 Outperformed benchmark by 316% since inception.
  • 📊 Stock market delivered a strong 32% return in 1QFY26.
  • 📉 Inflation averaged 4.2% during the quarter, down from 9.2% a year earlier.
  • 🌍 Current account deficit widened to USD 624 million during 2MFY26.
  • 💸 Remittances grew by 8.4% YoY during 1QFY26.
  • 🏦 FX reserves remained stable at USD 14.4 billion as of September 26, 2025.
  • 🤝 IMF Staff-Level Agreement will unlock around USD 1.2 billion in financial assistance.
  • 🌱 Government revised FY25 GDP growth upward to 3.04%.
  • 🏦 Commercial Banks, Cement, Oil & Gas Exploration sectors led market gains.
  • 💼 Mutual Funds, Individuals, and Companies emerged as the largest net buyers.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the fund’s strong performance, outperformance of its benchmark, and alignment with high-performing sectors, a BUY recommendation is warranted. The fund’s ability to generate consistent returns and manage expenses effectively makes it an attractive investment option. The positive outlook for GDP growth and potential for further financial assistance from the IMF further support a bullish outlook. However, investors should carefully consider the risks associated with macroeconomic factors and sector-specific challenges.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Financial Results of NBP Savings Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Savings Fund (NBP-SF) reported its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The State Bank of Pakistan maintained the policy rate at 11% to manage inflation, which rose to 5.6% in September but averaged 4.2% for the quarter. The fund’s size doubled to Rs. 12,123 million, and the unit price increased to Rs. 10.4331, showing a 20.6% annualized return compared to the benchmark return of 10.6%. NBP-SF earned a total income of Rs. 510.52 million and a net income of Rs. 473.64 million after expenses.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📈 NBP-SF’s asset base doubled, growing from Rs. 6,065 million to Rs. 12,123 million.
  • 💰 Unit price increased to Rs. 10.4331, up from Rs. 9.9172 on June 30, 2025.
  • ⭐ Fund achieved an annualized return of 20.6%, significantly outperforming the benchmark’s 10.6%.
  • 🏦 SBP maintained the policy rate at 11% to control inflation.
  • 📊 Average inflation for Q1 FY26 eased to 4.2%, compared to 9.2% in the previous year.
  • 💲 Current account deficit stood at USD 624 million for July-August.
  • reserves reached USD 14.4 billion on September 26, projected to hit USD 17 billion by June 2026.
  • ✅ Fiscal performance improved, with a primary surplus expected in Q1 FY26.
  • 💸 Rs. 2.4 trillion SBP profit transfer contributed to fiscal improvement.
  • 💸 Total income for the period amounted to Rs. 510.52 million.
  • expenses were Rs. 36.88 million, resulting in a net income of Rs. 473.64 million.
  • 📊 Asset allocation includes Cash Equivalents & Other Net Assets at 59.11%, CFS/MTS at 22.95%, T-Bills at 12.17%, and Term Deposit Receipts at 5.77%.
  • 🛡️ The fund has been awarded a stability rating of ‘A+ (f)’ by PACRA.
  • ✔️ Real GDP growth for FY26 is projected between 3.0% and 3.5%.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the strong performance and positive growth trajectory, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for NBP Savings Fund. The fund’s robust returns, coupled with its focus on stability and liquidity, make it a suitable investment for risk-averse investors. However, potential interest rate fluctuations and inflationary pressures warrant a cautious approach. A price target cannot be accurately determined without further analysis of portfolio composition and market conditions. The time horizon for this recommendation is medium-term (6-12 months), pending further assessment of economic developments and fund performance.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (7/10) – Financial Results of NBP Stock Fund for the quarter ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Stock Fund (NSF) has shown significant growth, increasing in size from PKR 39.981 billion to PKR 54.790 billion, a 37.0% increase, for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The unit price of NSF also increased from PKR 32.2889 to PKR 42.8392, representing a 32.7% increase, while the benchmark rose by 34.9%, underperforming the benchmark by 2.2%. The fund’s NAV has increased by 1,965.2% since its inception on January 19, 2007, demonstrating strong long-term performance. The fund’s performance remains strong, driven by strategic asset allocation and effective management of expenses.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📈 NSF’s fund size grew by 37.0%, from PKR 39.981 billion to PKR 54.790 billion.
  • 💰 Unit price increased by 32.7%, from PKR 32.2889 to PKR 42.8392.
  • 📉 The fund underperformed its benchmark by 2.2% during the quarter.
  • 🚀 Since inception, the fund’s NAV increased by 1,965.2%.
  • 📊 The stock market showed a strong rally, increasing by 32%.
  • 🏦 The rally was led by Commercial Banks, Cement, Oil & Gas Exploration, Fertilizer, and Power Generation sectors.
  • Inflation averaged 4.2% during the quarter, down from 9.2% last year.
  • 💸 Foreign exchange reserves remained stable at USD 14.4 billion.
  • 🤝 IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) second review concluded.
  • 🌱 Government revised FY25 GDP growth upwards from 2.68% to 3.04%.
  • 🏭 Industrial sector growth reached 19.9% in 4QFY25.
  • 💼 Mutual funds, individuals, and companies were significant net buyers.
  • 💸 The fund earned a total income of PKR 13,590.86 million during the period.
  • 🧾 Net income after expenses was PKR 13,137.46 million.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the fund’s growth, solid long-term performance, and strategic asset allocation, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The underperformance against the benchmark is a concern, but the fund’s overall financial health and potential for future growth warrant maintaining the current position. Price target: PKR 45.00 based on continued market growth and improved stock selection. Time horizon: Medium Term

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ NBP-FUNDS: HOLD Signal (5/10) – NBP-FUNDS | NBP FUND MANAGEMENT LIMITED Notices of Rebalancing of NBP Pakistan Growth ETF (NBPGETF)

⚡ Flash Summary

NBP Funds has announced the rebalancing of the NBP Pakistan Growth ETF (NBPGETF), effective November 7, 2025. This rebalancing is in compliance with regulatory requirements and the fund’s offering document. The process will involve adjusting the ETF’s portfolio based on a previous basket, during which the indicative Net Asset Value (iNAV) may not accurately represent the underlying basket. The exchange will be informed once the portfolio reconstitution is complete, and TRC Certificate Holders will be updated accordingly.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🗓️ Rebalancing of NBP Pakistan Growth ETF (NBPGETF) is scheduled for November 7, 2025.
  • 📜 The rebalancing adheres to Section 96 of the Securities Act, 2015, and PSX regulations.
  • 🔄 NBPGETF’s portfolio will be adjusted as part of the rebalancing process.
  • 📊 iNAV dissemination will continue during reconstitution but may not be fully representative.
  • 📢 The Pakistan Stock Exchange will be notified upon completion of the portfolio reconstitution.
  • ⚠️ Investors should note potential temporary discrepancies in iNAV during the rebalancing period.
  • 💼 The rebalancing aims to align the ETF with the NBP Pakistan Growth Index.
  • 📄 The announcement serves to inform TRC Certificate Holders of the upcoming changes.
  • 🔍 Monitoring of the reconstitution’s impact on ETF performance is advisable.
  • ✉️ NBP Funds is managing the rebalancing process.
  • 🏢 Muhammad Murtaza Ali, COO & Company Secretary, is the point of contact.
  • 📍 The announcement originates from NBP Fund Management Limited in Karachi.
  • 🌐 Further information can be found on NBP Funds’ website.
  • 📞 Contact information is provided for inquiries and assistance.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the informational nature of this announcement, a HOLD rating is appropriate. The rebalancing is a standard operational procedure to maintain the fund’s alignment with its benchmark index. Investors should monitor the fund’s performance post-rebalancing to assess any impacts on returns and risk profile. A neutral outlook is warranted until further details on the portfolio composition and performance are available.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025