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KAPCO - FoxLogica

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⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Material Information

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO announced: Material Information. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • KAPCO made announcement: Material Information
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for KAPCO. Manual verification required.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 26, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Clarification of News Item under Regulation 5.6.2 of the PSX Rule Book

⚡ Flash Summary

Kot Addu Power Company (KAPCO) issued a clarification regarding a news item speculating on the finalized acquisition of Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL). KAPCO stated that the news was premature and inaccurate, emphasizing that the proposed joint acquisition with Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL) is still in process. The company reiterated that the acquisition remains subject to finalization of acquisition terms, due diligence, execution of agreements, and regulatory approvals. KAPCO affirmed its commitment to keeping the exchange and public informed of any material developments.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📢 KAPCO clarifies news regarding Attock Cement acquisition.
  • 📰 News item in Business Recorder speculated finalized transaction.
  • ❌ KAPCO states news is premature and inaccurate.
  • 🤝 Proposed joint acquisition with FCCL is still in progress.
  • 📅 Initial material information disclosure: November 3, 2025.
  • 📝 Addendum to Public Announcement of Intention (PAI): November 4, 2025.
  • 📰 Addendum published in newspapers: November 6, 2025.
  • Shareholding for acquisition: 84.06%.
  • 🔍 Acquisition subject to due diligence.
  • 📝 Requires finalization of acquisition terms.
  • ✅ Requires execution of appropriate agreements.
  • 🏛️ Requires regulatory and corporate approvals.
  • 🔒 KAPCO committed to disclosure obligations.
  • 📡 KAPCO will keep Exchange and public informed.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the uncertainty surrounding the Attock Cement acquisition, a HOLD rating is appropriate. The acquisition could be value accretive if completed on favorable terms. Monitor regulatory approvals, due diligence outcomes, and final acquisition terms.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 12, 2025

📈 KAPCO: BUY Signal (7/10) – Credit of Final Cash Dividend

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO announced: Credit of Final Cash Dividend. Basic analysis suggests positive sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: BUY 📈
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • KAPCO made announcement: Credit of Final Cash Dividend
  • Automated analysis: BUY signal detected
  • Signal strength: 7/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic BUY indication for KAPCO. Manual verification required.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 10, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Board Meeting in Progress

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO announced: Board Meeting in Progress. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • KAPCO made announcement: Board Meeting in Progress
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for KAPCO. Manual verification required.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

📉 KAPCO: SELL Signal (8/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, reveal a concerning downturn. Revenue generation has come to a standstill, with a reported revenue of zero for the period. Consequently, the company posted a net profit of PKR 4.876 million, significantly lower than the PKR 1,162.207 million recorded in the same quarter last year. This drastic reduction in profitability is primarily attributable to the absence of revenue, which is quite alarming.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 8/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ⚠️ Revenue from contracts with customers is zero for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
  • 📉 Gross Loss significantly improved from (PKR 977.828) thousand to (PKR 831.400) thousand.
  • 😕 Operating profit declined sharply from PKR 1,269.605 million to PKR 216.131 million.
  • 💸 Finance costs decreased from PKR (205.496) thousand to (PKR 5.020) thousand.
  • 📊 Profit before income tax decreased from PKR 1,064.105 million to PKR 211.111 million.
  • 🧾 Income Tax showed significant drop from PKR 98.102 million to PKR (206.235) million.
  • 📉 Profit for the period saw a massive reduction from PKR 1,162.207 million to PKR 4.876 million.
  • 📉 Earnings per share (basic and diluted) decreased drastically from PKR 1.32 to PKR 0.01.
  • 📉 Property, plant and equipment declined from PKR 1,818.304 million to PKR 1,819.534 million.
  • 📉 Trade debts secured decreased from PKR 4,141.087 million to PKR 3,543.144 million.
  • 📉 Investments at fair value decreased from PKR 41,071.844 million to PKR 38,634.857 million.
  • 💰 Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period decreased from PKR 827.449 thousand to PKR 1,080,406 million.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the dire financial results, highlighted by the absence of revenue and a steep decline in profitability, a SELL recommendation is warranted for KAPCO. The lack of revenue raises significant concerns about the company’s future prospects and ability to sustain its operations. With the current financial performance, a price target reflecting substantial downside is justified. The time horizon for this recommendation is short to medium-term, contingent on the company’s ability to demonstrate a recovery in revenue generation.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Corporate Briefing Presentation Revised

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO’s corporate briefing presentation provides an overview of the company’s performance and future outlook. The company is pursuing diversification plans, including a potential acquisition of a stake in Attock Cement and bidding for K-Electric solar projects. Key financial data includes balance sheet and profit & loss account information. The operational timeline extends the generation license and tariff agreements.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ✅ KAPCO’s 25-year PPA extended to Oct-22 following settlement of LDs.
  • ✅ Generation License for 495 MW extended for 3 years in April 2025.
  • ✅ TPPA signed for 3 years in June 2025.
  • ✅ NEPRA issued final generation tariff for 495 MW in September 2025.
  • ✅ GT-3 & GT-4 sold for Rs. 800 million; dismantling by February 2026.
  • ✅ Management evaluating CTBCM option for a block of power generation.
  • ✅ Hybrid Take or Pay (ROE firmed upto 25% load factor).
  • ✅ Total Dividend Payments since 1996: Rs. 168 Billion (Rs. 191.04/share).
  • ✅ Total Dividend payment since listing in 2005 Rs. 132 Billion (Rs. 150.35/share).
  • ✅ KAPCO has paid ~ Rs. 73.20 Billion in Taxes.
  • ✅ KAPCO invested approximately Rs. 41 billion in Mutual Funds as of June 30, 2025, for diversification.
  • ✅ Joint bid with Fauji Foundation to acquire 84.06% stake in Attock Cement (42.03% each).
  • ✅ NEPRA approval pending for K-Electric solar projects: 150 MW in Sindh, 120 MW in Karachi.
  • ✅ Bid tariff for solar projects: 9.8319 PKR/kWh (3.4061 Cents/kWh).

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. KAPCO faces challenges in maintaining profitability due to changing market conditions. The company’s diversification plans represent a potential upside but require further evaluation. The stock’s price target should reflect the uncertainty of the diversification initiatives. We await further detail.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (6/10) – Resolutions 29th AGM

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO’s 29th Annual General Meeting (AGM) resolutions reveal key decisions regarding dividends and auditor appointments. The company approved a final cash dividend of Rs. 2.50 per ordinary share for the financial year ended June 30, 2025, in addition to an already paid interim cash dividend of Rs. 4.50 per share. A.F. Ferguson & Co. has been re-appointed as the external auditor for the year ending June 30, 2026. These decisions signal continued profitability and commitment to shareholder returns.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 6/10
Sentiment: POSITIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ✅ AGM resolutions confirm the company’s decisions.
  • 📅 Meeting held on October 24, 2025.
  • 💰 Final cash dividend of Rs. 2.50 per share approved.
  • 💵 Interim cash dividend of Rs. 4.50 per share already paid.
  • 🧾 Dividends relate to the financial year ended June 30, 2025.
  • 🏢 Shareholders on the register by October 17, 2025, are eligible for the final dividend.
  • 🧑‍💼 A. F. Ferguson & Co. re-appointed as external auditors.
  • 🗓️ Auditors appointed for the year ending June 30, 2026.
  • 🤝 Audit fee to be mutually agreed upon.
  • ✔️ Minutes of the 13th Extraordinary General Meeting confirmed.
  • 📰 Annual Audited Accounts adopted.
  • 🏦 Ordinary share par value is Rs. 10.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the AGM resolutions, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for KAPCO. The consistent dividend payouts are attractive, but the inherent risks in the power sector, along with regulatory uncertainties, limit significant upside potential. A price target can be established with a time horizon of one year, based on projected earnings and sustainable dividend yield. Further analysis is needed before considering a BUY rating.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

📉 KAPCO: SELL Signal (7/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Report for the Period Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO’s Q1 2025 report shows a mixed performance. The company generated revenue of Rs. 4,156 million after reporting no revenue in 2024, however the cost of sales was greater at Rs. 4,987 Million resulting in gross loss. Net profit was reported at Rs. 4.876 million, significantly lower than the Rs. 1,162 million profit in 2024, leading to a lower EPS of Rs. 0.01 compared to Rs. 1.32 in 2024. Suspension of the Tripartite Power Purchase Agreement (TPPA) adds uncertainty.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📊 Revenue: Rs. 4,156 Million, a new beginning after Rs. Nil in 2024.
  • 📉 Cost of Sales: Rs. 4,987 Million, exceeding revenue.
  • 💔 Gross Loss: (Rs. 831.4) Million, reflecting sales difficulties.
  • 📉 Net Profit: Rs. 4.876 Million, a decline from Rs. 1,162 Million in 2024.
  • 📉 Earnings Per Share (EPS): Rs. 0.01, considerably lower than Rs. 1.32 in 2024.
  • 📉 Investment Income: Annualized return drops to 10.05% from 21.58%.
  • ⚠️ TPPA Suspension: Effective Oct 1, 2025, adding uncertainty.
  • 💰 Disputed Receivables: Rs. 2,499 Million due from Power Purchaser, backed by GoP Guarantee.
  • 💸 Mutual Fund Investments: Rs. 38,635 Million for working capital and diversification.
  • 🤝 Diversification: Exploring opportunities with WAPDA’s support.
  • 🏢 Attock Cement Bid: Joint bid with Fauji Foundation still pending.
  • ☀️ K-Electric Projects: NEPRA approval awaited for proposed solar projects.
  • 📜 Directors: Nine directors, with eight males and one female.
  • ⚡️ Electricity Generation: 151,163 MWh generated during the reporting period.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the challenges highlighted in the Q1 2025 report, including the revenue and earnings decline, the suspension of the TPPA, and the various financial and operational risks, a SELL recommendation is warranted. While the company is pursuing diversification opportunities, these are still in preliminary stages and may take time to materialize. Short-term volatility is expected, and the upside potential appears limited. Price Target: Rs. 5.00. Time Horizon: Medium Term.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Disclosure of Material Information

⚡ Flash Summary

Kot Addu Power Company (KAPCO) and Fauji Foundation initially intended to jointly acquire 84.06% of Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL). However, Fauji Foundation has communicated that it would be more appropriate for Fauji Cement Company Limited to be the entity to jointly acquire the shares with KAPCO due to business synergies. KAPCO’s Board has approved this revised plan, which involves the acquisition of shares and joint control of ACPL by KAPCO and Fauji Cement Company Limited. The acquisition is subject to the execution of a share purchase agreement, regulatory approvals, and other conditions.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🤝 KAPCO and Fauji Foundation initially planned a joint acquisition.
  • 🏢 Fauji Foundation now suggests Fauji Cement should lead the acquisition due to synergies.
  • cement🏭 Acquisition target is Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL).
  • 🎯 Target stake is 84.06% of ACPL’s total issued and paid-up capital.
  • ✅ KAPCO’s Board has approved the revised acquisition plan.
  • 📜 Board approval was formalized via written resolution dated November 3, 2025.
  • 📑 Acquisition is governed by the Securities Act, 2015.
  • 🏛️ Also governed by Listed Companies Regulations, 2017.
  • ✍️ Requires execution of a share purchase agreement.
  • 🚦 Subject to regulatory approvals.
  • ℹ️ KAPCO made initial disclosure on June 3, 2025.
  • ℹ️ Further disclosure was made on August 19, 2025.
  • 🏦 Integrated Equities Limited is the Manager to the Offer.
  • 📅 The report date is November 3, 2025.

🎯 Investment Thesis

HOLD. The change in acquisition structure introduces uncertainty regarding the benefits that will accrue to KAPCO directly. While the acquisition could be strategically beneficial, the shift in leadership to Fauji Cement warrants a neutral stance until further details on the financial implications for KAPCO are available. A price target cannot be accurately determined based on this announcement alone. The time horizon is medium-term, pending clarity on the integration and strategic impact.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ KAPCO: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Material Information

⚡ Flash Summary

KAPCO announced: Material Information. Basic analysis suggests neutral sentiment. Professional review recommended.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEUTRAL
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • KAPCO made announcement: Material Information
  • Automated analysis: HOLD signal detected
  • Signal strength: 5/10
  • This is basic analysis – manual review recommended
  • Professional CFA analysis unavailable

🎯 Investment Thesis

Basic HOLD indication for KAPCO. Manual verification required.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025