NEGATIVE - FoxLogica

📉 PGLC: SELL Signal (7/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Pak-Gulf Leasing Company Limited reported a significant decrease in net profit after taxation for the three months ended September 30, 2025, with a profit of PKR 12.408 million compared to PKR 39.761 million in the same period last year. This decline is primarily due to a substantial decrease in income from financing operations, which fell from PKR 51.271 million to PKR 25.022 million. Despite a decrease in finance costs, the overall expenses remained high. The company’s earnings per share also decreased from PKR 0.80 to PKR 0.25.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Net profit after taxation decreased by 68.8% from PKR 39.761 million to PKR 12.408 million.
⚠️ Income from financing operations dropped significantly from PKR 51.271 million to PKR 25.022 million.
💰 Earnings per share (basic and diluted) declined from PKR 0.80 to PKR 0.25.
⬆️ Other comprehensive income increased from PKR 0.119 million to PKR 1.906 million due to gain on revaluation of FVOCI investments.
❌ No interim cash dividend, bonus shares, or right shares were declared.
⬆️ Total assets decreased slightly from PKR 1,446.326 million to PKR 1,416.089 million.
⬆️ Total equity increased from PKR 790.962 million to PKR 805.276 million.
⬆️ Long-term deposits increased from PKR 273.765 million to PKR 306.839 million.
⬆️ Reversal against lease receivables held under litigation increased from (0.225) million to (0.568) million
⬆️ Reversal for potential lease and loan losses, increased from 3.358 million to 0.773 million

🎯 Investment Thesis

SELL due to significant decline in profitability and revenue, indicating potential operational challenges. Price target: PKR 3.00. Time horizon: Short term.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements CEPB Signal: SELL

📉 CEPB: SELL Signal (8/10) – FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE QUARTER ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Century Paper & Board Mills Limited reports a challenging quarter with a net profit of PKR 13.295 million, a significant drop from PKR 147.269 million in the same quarter last year. Despite a slight increase in turnover to PKR 10,637.306 million, the company faced higher costs, particularly in finance, leading to a substantial decrease in operating profit. The company experienced a loss before income tax, highlighting the adverse impact of increased finance costs. The earnings per share also declined drastically to PKR 0.03 from PKR 0.37.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Net profit plummeted to PKR 13.295 million from PKR 147.269 million YoY.
📈 Turnover increased slightly to PKR 10,637.306 million from PKR 10,132.236 million YoY.
⚠️ Operating profit declined significantly to PKR 307.433 million from PKR 757.203 million YoY.
💸 Finance costs surged to PKR 282.997 million from PKR 510.188 million YoY.
📉 Loss before income tax reported at PKR (102.059) million compared to a profit of PKR 247.015 million YoY.
💸 Basic and diluted earnings per share decreased to PKR 0.03 from PKR 0.37 YoY.
⚠️ Cost of sales increased to PKR 10,057.842 million from PKR 9,101.275 million YoY.
📉 Gross profit decreased to PKR 579.464 million from PKR 1,030.961 million YoY.
📉 Cash generated from operations decreased significantly to PKR 2,547.547 million from PKR 503.247 million YoY.
⚠️ Net cash from operating activities declined to PKR 2,154.588 million from negative PKR (435.946) million YoY.
📉 Net cash used in investing activities increased to PKR (268.822) million from PKR (32.548) million YoY.
⚠️ Trade debts increased to PKR 6,446.595 million from PKR 5,378.407 million since June 30, 2025.
📉 Short-term borrowings decreased to PKR 5,567.415 million from PKR 7,094.892 million since June 30, 2025.
⚠️ Reserves increased slightly to PKR 9,411.563 million from PKR 9,398.268 million since June 30, 2025.
⚠️ Long-term financing decreased to PKR 1,940.621 million from PKR 2,298.013 million since June 30, 2025.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the financial results, a SELL recommendation is appropriate for Century Paper & Board Mills Limited. The significant decline in profitability, coupled with high finance costs and decreased operating profit, raises concerns about the company’s near-term prospects. The earnings per share have dropped significantly and the financial risk profile is high. Therefore, the price target is PKR 15, reflecting the reduced earnings potential and increased risks, with a short-term horizon of 6 months. This target accounts for potential further declines in earnings and increased volatility.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements Signal: SELL

📉 CTM: SELL Signal (7/10) – Presentation – Corporate Briefing Session

⚡ Flash Summary

Colony Textile Mills Limited (CTM) faces challenges as indicated by its FY 2025 results. The company reported a net loss of PKR 2.234 billion, an increase from the PKR 3.641 billion loss in the previous year. Revenue slightly increased to PKR 16.888 billion from PKR 16.764 billion. Management expresses cautious optimism for the future, contingent on government support and debt restructuring.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Net loss increased to PKR (2.234) billion in FY 2025 from PKR (3.641) billion in FY 2024.
📊 Revenue increased marginally to PKR 16.888 billion in FY 2025 from PKR 16.764 billion in FY 2024.
⚠️ Gross profit shifted to a loss of PKR (1.333) billion in FY 2025 compared to a loss of PKR (2.386) billion in FY 2024.
💸 Operating loss decreased to PKR (1.951) billion in FY 2025 from PKR (3.001) billion in FY 2024.
💰 Finance costs decreased to PKR 1.404 billion in FY 2025 from PKR 1.554 billion in FY 2024.
📉 Loss per share improved to (PKR 4.49) in FY 2025 from (PKR 7.31) in FY 2024.
🏢 Total assets decreased slightly to PKR 26.967 billion in FY 2025 from PKR 28.947 billion in FY 2024.
liabilities remained high at PKR 11.502 billion.
🏦 Cash flow from operations improved significantly to PKR 338 million from PKR 1.607 billion.
💼 Management is actively pursuing debt restructuring arrangements.
🌱 Future outlook is cautiously optimistic, dependent on government support and necessary regulatory reforms.
🏭 The company is focusing on modernization and diversification into value-added goods.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the current financial performance, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company is struggling with profitability and burdened by debt. While management is taking steps to restructure debt and improve operations, the near-term outlook remains uncertain. A turnaround will take time, and there are significant risks involved.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements Signal: HOLD SRVI

⏸️ SRVI: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Sad Demise of Chief Financial Officer

⚡ Flash Summary

Service Industries Limited (SRVI) announced the passing of their Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Badar Ul Hassan, on October 25, 2025. The announcement, released on October 27, 2025, highlights Mr. Hassan’s invaluable contribution and integrity. While the announcement conveys deep sadness and acknowledges the loss, it does not contain information about the company’s financial performance or operational changes. The market may react with uncertainty due to the sudden absence of a key executive, but the long-term impact is likely to be minimal unless it signals deeper issues within the company.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️

Strength: 5/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📢 SRVI announces the demise of CFO, Mr. Badar Ul Hassan, on October 25, 2025.
📅 Announcement released on October 27, 2025.
💼 Mr. Hassan described as an ‘invaluable professional asset’.
❤️‍🩹 Company expresses deep grief and sympathy.
🏢 The loss is felt across the entire Servis Group.
🙏 Prayers for the departed soul and strength for the bereaved family.
ℹ️ TRE Certificate Holders of the Exchange to be informed.
📜 Announcement signed by Waheed Ashraf, Company Secretary.
📍 Announcement addressed to the General Manager, Pakistan Stock Exchange.
🇵🇰 Pakistan Stock Exchange located in Karachi.
🏢 SRVI’s head office is located in Lahore.
📞 Contact information provided: Phone and Fax numbers.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the limited information in this announcement, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The loss of the CFO is a negative event, but it’s unlikely to significantly alter the company’s long-term prospects unless it exposes deeper problems. A price target cannot be determined without a proper financial analysis. The time horizon is medium-term, pending further information on the CFO replacement and any potential impact on the company’s operations.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements BERG Signal: HOLD

⏸️ BERG: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Berger Paints Pakistan Limited’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, reveal a mixed performance. Revenue slightly increased to PKR 2,124.37 million from PKR 2,117.55 million in the same quarter last year. However, profit after taxation decreased to PKR 69.299 million from PKR 77.057 million. The company did not announce any cash dividend, bonus issue, or right shares.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️

Strength: 5/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

Revenue increased slightly by 0.32% to PKR 2,124.37 million compared to PKR 2,117.55 million.📈
Gross profit decreased by 2.34% to PKR 465.19 million from PKR 476.37 million.📉
Selling and distribution expenses increased by 14.19% to PKR 253.01 million.⬆️
Administrative and general expenses increased by 9.33% to PKR 63.77 million.⬆️
Other operating expenses increased by 18.76% to PKR 8.72 million.⬆️
Profit from operations decreased by 26.13% to PKR 139.69 million.📉
Finance cost decreased by 38.20% to PKR 43.80 million.📉
Profit before income tax and levy decreased by 10.06% to PKR 111.78 million.📉
Taxation decreased by 10.06% to PKR 42.48 million.📉
Profit after taxation for the period decreased by 10.06% to PKR 69.30 million.📉
Earnings per share (basic and diluted) decreased to PKR 2.82 from PKR 3.14.📉
No cash dividend, bonus issue, or right shares were announced.❌
Cash and cash equivalents decreased to PKR -721.83 million. 📉
Net cash generated from operating activities increased to PKR 320.50 million. ⬆️

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the decline in profitability and mixed financial performance, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. Further analysis is needed to understand the reasons behind the increased operating expenses and reduced margins. A potential price target could be set based on future earnings projections, but until there is evidence of improved profitability, the outlook is neutral.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements MTL Signal: HOLD

⏸️ MTL: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Millat Tractors Limited (MTL) reported a decrease in revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with consolidated revenue from contracts with customers decreasing to PKR 7,784.33 million compared to PKR 8,792.17 million in the same quarter last year. Profit after tax also declined from PKR 459.81 million to PKR 613.46 million. Basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) decreased from PKR 2.30 to PKR 3.07. The company’s performance was impacted by increased finance costs which could be the result of higher interest rates.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️

Strength: 5/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue from contracts with customers decreased by 11.46% YoY to PKR 7,784.33 million from PKR 8,792.17 million.
💰 Gross profit decreased to PKR 2,191.92 million compared to PKR 2,390.69 million in the same quarter last year.
⚠️ Distribution and marketing expenses decreased to PKR 363.97 million from PKR 390.26 million.
🏢 Administrative expenses increased to PKR 481.12 million compared to PKR 471.18 million YoY.
📉 Other operating expenses decreased to PKR 74.20 million from PKR 75.65 million YoY.
📈 Other income decreased to PKR 84.26 million from PKR 108.72 million YoY.
💸 Finance costs increased from PKR 476.85 million to PKR 641.81 million.
⚠️ Profit before income taxes and levies decreased to PKR 880.04 million from PKR 920.51 million.
📉 Profit after tax decreased to PKR 613.46 million compared to PKR 459.81 million.
💲 Basic and diluted earnings per share increased to PKR 3.07 compared to PKR 2.30 in the same quarter last year.
📉 Total comprehensive income for the period decreased to PKR 606.50 million from PKR 421.00 million.
⚠️ Non-current assets increased to PKR 8,068.28 million compared to PKR 8,231.63 million in June 30, 2025.
⚠️ Current assets increased to PKR 30,636.54 million compared to PKR 26,649.65 million in June 30, 2025.
⚠️ Current liabilities increased to PKR 27,328.51 million compared to PKR 23,982.54 million in June 30, 2025.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the decreased revenue, increased finance costs, and decreased profit after tax, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. While the company maintains a strong market position, current financial indicators suggest caution. A price target and time horizon cannot be reliably determined without further analysis and market data.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements BGL Signal: SELL

📉 BGL: SELL Signal (8/10) – Financial Results for the 1st Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Baluchistan Glass Limited reported a challenging first quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company experienced a significant drop in sales, leading to a gross loss and an operating loss. The absence of a cash dividend recommendation and the overall financial performance paint a concerning picture for investors. Loss per share worsened compared to the same period last year.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Sales plummeted to PKR 13.979 million, a significant decrease from PKR 409.046 million in Q1 2024.
⚠️ Gross loss amounted to PKR 70.485 million, compared to a gross loss of PKR 129.485 million in Q1 2024.
⛔ Operating loss reached PKR 74.896 million, a decrease from PKR 157.624 million in Q1 2024.
💸 Finance costs were PKR 51.608 million, down from PKR 71.152 million in Q1 2024.
❌ Loss before levies and income tax was PKR 126.679 million.
🧾 Net loss for the period stood at PKR 124.926 million, versus PKR 231.957 million in Q1 2024.
📉 Loss per share (basic and diluted) was PKR 0.20, compared to PKR 0.89 in Q1 2024.
💰 No cash dividend, bonus issue, or right shares were declared.
🏛️ Total Equity and Liabilities decreased slightly from PKR 3,905.089 million to PKR 3,809.125 million.
🏭 Property, plant, and equipment decreased from PKR 3,337.021 million to PKR 3,285.185 million.
💵 Cash and bank balances significantly decreased from PKR 28.092 million to PKR 5.270 million.
Liabilities increased in the short term.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the Q1 2025 results, a SELL recommendation is appropriate. The company faces significant challenges, and the financial outlook is bleak. There is no clear indication of a turnaround strategy, and the risks outweigh any potential upside. No price target is recommended.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements MTL Signal: SELL

📉 MTL: SELL Signal (7/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025 REVOKED

⚡ Flash Summary

Millat Tractors Limited’s (MTL) unconsolidated financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, reveal a concerning trend. The company experienced a decline in revenue compared to the same period last year, alongside a decrease in profitability. This contraction is evident in both the standalone and consolidated figures, signaling potential headwinds for the tractor manufacturer. Further investigation into the drivers of decreased sales and increased costs is warranted to assess the long-term impact.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue decreased to PKR 7.546 billion (unconsolidated) from PKR 7.996 billion in Q3 2024.
📉 Consolidated revenue declined to PKR 7.784 billion from PKR 8.792 billion year over year.
📉 Gross profit unconsolidated decreased to PKR 2.053 billion from PKR 2.326 billion.
📉 Gross profit consolidated decreased to PKR 2.191 billion from PKR 2.390 billion year over year.
⚠️ Finance costs unconsolidated decreased slightly to PKR 471.386 million from PKR 628.058 million.
⚠️ Finance costs consolidated decreased slightly to PKR 476.847 million from PKR 641.812 million.
📉 Profit after tax unconsolidated decreased to PKR 513.589 million from PKR 622.329 million in Q3 2024.
📉 Consolidated profit after tax decreased to PKR 613.455 million from PKR 459.805 million.
📉 Unconsolidated EPS decreased to PKR 2.57 from a restated PKR 3.12.
📉 Consolidated EPS decreased to PKR 3.07 from PKR 2.30 in Q3 2024.
💰 Unconsolidated cash and bank balances increased to PKR 1.368 billion from PKR 1.565 billion
💰 Consolidated cash and bank balances decreased to PKR 1.603 billion from PKR 1.826 billion
⚠️ Unconsolidated trade debts decreased to PKR 244.818 million from PKR 134.216 million
⚠️ Consolidated trade debts decreased to PKR 920.583 million from PKR 152.553 million
⚖️ Total equity unconsolidated increased to PKR 9.884 billion from PKR 9.278 billion.
⚠️ Total equity consolidated increased to PKR 8.621 billion from PKR 8.076 billion.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the Q3 2025 financial results and trends, a SELL recommendation is warranted for Millat Tractors. The company’s declining revenue, squeezed profit margins, negative cash flow from operations, and increasing trade debts raise serious concerns. The price target rationale is described below. The investment horizon is medium-term (6-12 months).

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements MTL Signal: SELL

📉 MTL: SELL Signal (7/10) – Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Millat Tractors Limited (MTL) reported a decrease in revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with consolidated revenue dropping to PKR 7.78 billion from PKR 8.79 billion in the same period last year. This decrease in revenue led to a decline in gross profit, which fell from PKR 2.39 billion to PKR 2.19 billion. Consequently, the profit after tax decreased from PKR 459.8 million to PKR 613.5 million. Earnings per share (EPS) also declined from PKR 2.30 to PKR 3.07.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue decreased by 11.46% from PKR 8.79 billion in 2024 to PKR 7.78 billion in 2025.
📉 Gross profit declined by 8.39% from PKR 2.39 billion to PKR 2.19 billion.
📉 Profit after tax decreased by 25.37% from PKR 459.8 million to PKR 613.5 million.
📉 Earnings per share (EPS) decreased from PKR 2.30 to PKR 3.07.
⚠️ Finance costs decreased from PKR 641.8 million to PKR 476.8 million, positively impacting profitability.
🏢 Administrative expenses increased slightly from PKR 471.18 million to PKR 481.12 million.
💼 Other income decreased from PKR 108.7 million to PKR 84.3 million.
📊 Total comprehensive income decreased from PKR 421.0 million to PKR 606.5 million.
💰 Cash and cash equivalents decreased from PKR (11.09) billion to PKR (15.74) billion.
🚜 Property, plant, and equipment increased from PKR 2.09 billion to PKR 2.10 billion.
🧾 Trade and other payables increased significantly from PKR 6.54 billion to PKR 8.19 billion.
🏦 Short-term borrowings increased from PKR 14.12 billion to PKR 17.34 billion, indicating increased reliance on debt.
⚠️ Slight exchange differences on translation of foreign operations (loss) impacted total comprehensive income.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the decreased revenue, declining profitability, and increased borrowings, a SELL recommendation is warranted for Millat Tractors (MTL). The company’s financial performance indicates potential challenges in maintaining its market position and generating profits. Price Target: PKR 250.00. Time Horizon: Medium Term (6-12 months). The price target is set based on a conservative estimate, considering the current financial challenges and potential market corrections.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

announcements GTYR Signal: SELL

📉 GTYR: SELL Signal (7/10) – Presentation of Corporate Briefing Session – 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Ghandhara Tyre & Rubber Company Limited (GTYR) held a corporate briefing session in October 2025. The company’s financials for 2025 show a decline in key metrics compared to 2024. Net sales decreased by 13% to PKR 17.8 billion, and gross profit fell by 31% to PKR 2.272 billion. This resulted in a net loss after tax of PKR 366 million compared to a profit of PKR 229 million in the previous year.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Net sales decreased by 13% from PKR 20.539 billion in 2024 to PKR 17.8 billion in 2025.
📉 Gross profit declined by 31% from PKR 3.278 billion to PKR 2.272 billion.
📉 Gross margin decreased from 16.0% to 12.8%.
📈 Finance costs increased by 24% from PKR 1.680 billion to PKR 1.351 billion.
📉 The company reported a loss before tax of PKR 150 million, a 130% decrease compared to a profit of PKR 496 million in 2024.
📉 Loss after tax was PKR 366 million, a 260% decrease compared to a profit of PKR 229 million in 2024.
📉 EBITDA decreased by 37% from PKR 2.701 billion to PKR 1.701 billion.
🚫 No cash dividend was distributed in 2025, compared to 18.7% in 2024.
📈 The company maintains a long-term credit rating of A+ and a short-term rating of A1 with a stable outlook from PACRA.
🚜 Key products include tyres for tractors, motorcycles, passenger cars, SUVs, light trucks, trucks/buses, off-the-road vehicles and rickshaws.
🤝 Key customers include Honda, Toyota, Suzuki, Hyundai, Kia, Hino, ISUZU, Dewan Farooque Motors, New Holland, and Massey Ferguson.
⚠️ Key challenges in 2024-25 include historically high interest rates, economic slowdown, and lower farm tyre sales.
☀️ Key initiatives include a 7-year technical services agreement with Shandong Huasheng Rubber Co. Ltd. and a solar energy agreement with KE for up to 2MW.
🌱 Future outlook focuses on the revival of economic activity and government initiatives.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the poor financial performance, declining profitability, and increased risks, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The price target should be revised downwards to reflect the current challenges and uncertainties. The time horizon is medium-term, expecting potential recovery contingent on economic improvements and successful execution of company initiatives.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 7, 2025

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