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NEGATIVE

⏸️ KCL: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Report for the Period Ended September 30th 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Karam Ceramics Limited reported a decrease in net sales for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with sales at Rs. 160.694 million, down from Rs. 171.245 million in the same quarter last year. The decline in sales is attributed to torrential rains and flooding affecting operations. Despite the sales decrease, the company reported a gross loss of Rs. 12.063 million, an improvement from the gross loss of Rs. 93.574 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year, primarily due to the suspension of production during September 2025. The net loss after taxation amounted to Rs. 26.542 million, significantly lower than the Rs. 98.982 million loss in the same period last year.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Net sales decreased by Rs. 10.55 million, from Rs. 171.245 million to Rs. 160.694 million YoY.
  • 🌧️ Sales decline attributed to torrential rains and flooding during the quarter.
  • 🤕 Gross loss improved significantly from Rs. 93.574 million to Rs. 12.063 million YoY.
  • 🛑 Production was suspended during September 2025, impacting the company’s performance.
  • 📉 Net loss after taxation decreased from Rs. 98.982 million to Rs. 26.542 million YoY.
  • 👍 Operational efficiency is a key focus area for the company’s management.
  • 🌱 The company aims to expand its customer base and implement sustainability initiatives.
  • 🤝 Appreciation extended to shareholders, customers, banks, and employees.
  • 🚫 No cash dividend declared for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
  • 🚫 No bonus shares declared for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
  • 🚫 No right shares declared for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
  • 💰 Subordinated loan increased slightly from Rs. 1,701.735 million to Rs. 1,702.635 million.
  • 🏢 Property, plant, and equipment decreased from Rs. 1,187.916 million to Rs. 1,166.505 million.
  • ✔️ The company’s shares are quoted on the Pakistan Stock Exchange.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the decrease in revenue, continuing losses and the overall financial position, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for KCL. While the company has shown some improvements in reducing losses, significant operational and financial challenges remain. A price target cannot be provided due to the current loss-making scenario. The time horizon for this recommendation is MEDIUM_TERM, contingent on the company demonstrating sustainable revenue growth and improved profitability.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📉 SGPL: SELL Signal (7/10) – Disclosure of Interest by a Director CEO, or Executive of a listed company and their Spouses and the Substantial Shareholders u/c 5.6.1.(d) of PSX Regulations

⚡ Flash Summary

Crescent Star Insurance Limited, a substantial shareholder of SG Power Limited (SGPL), sold 370,000 shares on October 29, 2025, at a rate of PKR 11.71 per share. This transaction was executed through the CDC (Central Depository Company) in the regular market. Following this sale, Crescent Star Insurance Limited’s cumulative shareholding in SGPL decreased to 5,641,236 shares, representing 31.63% of the total shareholding. The disclosure was made to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as per regulation 5.6.4.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📝 Crescent Star Insurance Limited sold 370,000 shares of SG Power Limited (SGPL).
  • 📅 The transaction occurred on October 29, 2025.
  • 🏢 The sale was executed through the Central Depository Company (CDC) in the regular market.
  • 💰 The selling price was PKR 11.71 per share.
  • 📉 Post-transaction, Crescent Star Insurance Limited holds 5,641,236 shares.
  • 📊 Their cumulative shareholding percentage now stands at 31.63%.
  • 📜 The disclosure was made under PSX Regulation 5.6.4.
  • 🏢 SG Power Limited’s registered office is in Karachi, Pakistan.
  • 📞 Contact details for SG Power Limited include telephone numbers 02132593410-12 and 021-32593500.
  • 📧 Email contact for SG Power Limited is Sohail.ahmed@sglyne.com.
  • 🌐 SG Power Limited’s website is www.sgpl.com.pk.
  • 🏢 The disclosure was addressed to the General Manager of the Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the information provided, a HOLD rating is suggested with caution. The sale by a substantial shareholder warrants careful monitoring of SGPL’s stock performance and investor sentiment. Further investigation is needed to understand the motives behind the sale and the potential long-term impact on the company’s stability and growth prospects. A price target cannot be accurately determined without additional financial data and analysis. Time horizon: MEDIUM_TERM.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📉 UCAPM: SELL Signal (7/10) – UCAPM | Unicap Modaraba Disclosure of Change in Interest by Shareholder

⚡ Flash Summary

Map Out Management Company (Private) Limited, a shareholder of Unicap Modaraba, executed multiple sell transactions on October 23, 2025. A total of 382,000 shares were sold at a rate of PKR 7.03 per share. The transactions were all executed electronically. These transactions will be presented at a subsequent board meeting for consideration as per PSX regulations.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🚨 Map Out Management Company sold shares.
  • 📅 Transactions occurred on October 23, 2025.
  • 📉 A total of 382,000 shares were sold.
  • 💰 Sale price per share: PKR 7.03.
  • 💻 All transactions were electronic.
  • 🏢 Transactions to be reviewed by the board.
  • 📜 Compliant with PSX regulations.
  • 💼 Map Out Management is a key shareholder.
  • ⚠️ Change in shareholder interest disclosed.
  • 🔍 Further details to be presented in a board meeting.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the disclosure of share sales by a major shareholder, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The sale might indicate concerns about the company’s future prospects. Investors should consider reducing their exposure to Unicap Modaraba. Price target is PKR 6.50, with a short-term time horizon.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ AKGL: HOLD Signal (5/10) – Transmission of Quarterly Report for the Period Ended 30-09-2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Al-Khair Gadoon’s Q1 2025 (ended September 30, 2025) shows a slight revenue decrease compared to the same quarter last year. While net sales declined marginally by 1.77% (Rs. 4.999 million), the company swung to a net loss of Rs. 10.212 million versus a net loss of Rs. 0.133 million in Q1 2024. The decline in profitability is attributed to reduced sales volume, increased input costs, and inflationary pressures affecting margins. Management focuses on cost optimization, operational efficiency, and revenue diversification to improve performance.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Net sales decreased marginally by Rs. 4.999 million (1.77%) to Rs. 277.785 million compared to Rs. 282.785 million in Q1 2024.
  • 📉 Gross profit declined to Rs. 31.083 million from Rs. 34.201 million in the same quarter last year.
  • ❗ The company reported a net loss of Rs. 10.212 million, a significant swing from a net loss of Rs. 0.133 million in Q1 2024.
  • ⬆️ Administrative expenses increased to Rs. 15.216 million from Rs. 10.685 million year over year
  • ⬆️ Distribution expenses increased to Rs. 12.069 million from Rs. 9.857 million year over year
  • 💸 Finance costs decreased to Rs. 10.592 million from Rs. 11.033 million year over year
  • 😔 Earnings per share after tax is negative (loss of Rs 1.02 per share) versus a loss of Rs. 0.01 per share in Q1 2024.
  • 🌱 Management is optimistic that efficiency initiatives and portfolio innovation will improve future profitability.
  • ⚠️ The company faces challenges from increased cost pressures, market volatility, and rising inflation.
  • 💲 The company maintains strong operational control and is implementing strategic measures to restore profitability.
  • 🏭 The foam industry is highly vulnerable to global market fluctuations due to reliance on imported raw materials.
  • 🏦 The company has access to finance facilities from Bank Alfalah and Habib Metropolitan Bank Limited.
  • 📜 Commitments in respect of letters of credit for raw materials were Rs. 95.056 million.
  • 🤝 There were no related party transactions during the period.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the recent financial performance, I recommend a HOLD rating on Al-Khair Gadoon. While management is taking steps to improve efficiency and profitability, the company faces significant challenges in the short term. I would assign a target price by comparing the performance against similar companies. Time horizon is medium term, 1 year.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📉 UDLI: SELL Signal (7/10) – Detail of Interest by an Associated Company

⚡ Flash Summary

On October 31, 2025, First UDL Modaraba Staff Provident Fund, an associated company, sold 50,706 shares of UDL International Limited at a rate of PKR 19.86 per share. The transaction was executed on the ‘Ready’ market for CDC (Central Depository Company) share certificates. Following this transaction, the cumulative shareholding of First UDL Modaraba Staff Provident Fund stands at 117,000 shares, representing 0.33% of the company. This disclosure indicates a potential shift in the holdings of associated entities, which could influence investor sentiment.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 7/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📝 UDL International Limited disclosed a sale of shares by an associated company.
  • 🏢 The associated company involved is First UDL Modaraba Staff Provident Fund.
  • 📉 50,706 shares were sold by the associated company.
  • 📅 The transaction took place on October 31, 2025.
  • 💹 The shares were sold at a rate of PKR 19.86 per share.
  • 📊 The transaction was executed in the ‘Ready’ market for CDC share certificates.
  • 📉 Following the sale, the cumulative shareholding is 117,000 shares.
  • 💼 The cumulative shareholding represents 0.33% of the company.
  • 📜 The disclosure is related to a transaction executed by an associated company.
  • 📢 The transaction will be presented in the subsequent board meeting.
  • 💼 Muhammad Faisal Siddiqui, Company Secretary, signed the disclosure.
  • 📍 The company’s head office is located in Karachi.
  • 🌐 The company’s website is www.udl.com.pk.
  • 📧 The company’s email address is info@udl.com.pk.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the sale of a small portion of shares by an associated company, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for UDL International Limited. The transaction does not fundamentally alter the company’s financials or long-term prospects, but it warrants monitoring for any further actions by associated entities. The current market conditions and sector dynamics should also be considered. Price Target: Maintain existing target. Time Horizon: Medium Term

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📉 CFL: SELL Signal (8/10) – FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE QUARTER ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Crescent Fibres reported a net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, reversing from a profit in the same period last year. Sales decreased significantly, contributing to a gross loss compared to a gross profit last year. The company did not declare any cash dividend, bonus shares, or right shares. Despite these challenges, there was a notable increase in surplus on revaluation of property, plant, and equipment.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 8/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Sales decreased to PKR 1,011.74 million from PKR 1,548.04 million YoY.
  • 😔 Gross loss of PKR 7.96 million compared to a gross profit of PKR 19.95 million YoY.
  • ⚠️ Operating loss widened to PKR 37.64 million from PKR 16.31 million YoY.
  • 💸 Financial charges decreased to PKR 37.15 million from PKR 64.68 million YoY.
  • ❌ Loss before taxation increased to PKR 87.55 million from PKR 100.66 million YoY.
  • 🧾 Taxation shows income of PKR 9.65 million compared to income of PKR 4.14 million YoY.
  • ⛔ Net loss for the period is PKR 77.90 million compared to a net loss of PKR 96.52 million YoY.
  • 📉 Loss per share is PKR 6.27 compared to a loss per share of PKR 7.77 YoY.
  • ✅ Surplus on revaluation of property, plant and equipment increased significantly to PKR 838.48 million.
  • 💰 Cash and cash equivalents decreased to PKR 20.18 million from PKR 41.94 million since June 30, 2025.
  • 🚫 No cash dividend, bonus shares, or right shares were declared.
  • ⬆️ Trade debts decreased to PKR 834.76 million from PKR 892.96 million since June 30, 2025.
  • ⬆️ Short term borrowings increased to PKR 503.65 million from PKR 408.97 million since June 30, 2025.

🎯 Investment Thesis

SELL. The declining sales and net loss, coupled with increasing short term borrowings, create a concerning outlook. While the revaluation of assets provides some cushion, the core business performance is weak. Price Target: PKR 15.00, Time Horizon: 6 months.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ SNGP: HOLD Signal (5/10) – FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE 1ST QUARTER ACCOUNTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2024

⚡ Flash Summary

Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) reported its financial results for the first quarter ended September 30, 2024. The company’s revenue inclusive of tariff adjustment increased slightly compared to the same period last year, but gross profit decreased. The company reported a profit for the period, though it was lower than the profit reported in the corresponding period of the previous year. The announcement also included details on earnings per share.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • ⚠️ Revenue from contracts with customers (gas sales) increased to PKR 391.57 billion from PKR 318.47 billion year-over-year.
  • 📉 Revenue inclusive of tariff adjustment increased to PKR 361.51 billion from PKR 355.99 billion year-over-year.
  • ⚠️ Cost of gas sales increased to PKR 354.39 billion from PKR 347.08 billion year-over-year.
  • 📉 Gross profit decreased to PKR 7.12 billion from PKR 8.90 billion year-over-year.
  • ⬆️ Other income increased to PKR 12.34 billion from PKR 10.59 billion year-over-year.
  • ⚠️ Operating profit increased to PKR 15.74 billion from PKR 15.26 billion year-over-year.
  • ⬆️ Finance costs increased to PKR 9.78 billion from PKR 9.18 billion year-over-year.
  • ⚠️ Profit before income tax decreased to PKR 5.97 billion from PKR 5.46 billion year-over-year.
  • ⚠️ Profit for the period decreased to PKR 3.28 billion from PKR 3.71 billion year-over-year.
  • 📉 Basic and diluted earnings per share decreased to PKR 5.18 from PKR 5.84 year-over-year.
  • 💰 The company did not declare any cash dividend, bonus shares, or right shares.
  • 🏦 Long-term financing from financial institutions (secured) decreased to PKR 20.37 billion from PKR 22.99 billion since June 30, 2024.
  • 💵 Cash and bank balances decreased to PKR 20.09 billion from PKR 17.74 billion since June 30, 2024.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the Q1 2024 results, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate for SNGPL. The company faces profitability challenges due to rising gas costs and finance expenses. The slight revenue increase is not enough to offset these challenges, resulting in lower EPS. Further monitoring of SNGPL’s ability to manage costs, improve efficiency, and navigate regulatory changes is needed before considering a BUY recommendation. Given the limited data, a specific price target cannot be confidently established at this time. The time horizon for this recommendation is medium-term (6-12 months).

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ SNGP: HOLD Signal (5/10) – FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE 3RD QUARTER ACCOUNTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED MARCH 31, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) announced its financial results for the third quarter ended March 31, 2025. The company reported a decrease in profit for the period, with earnings per share also declining compared to the same period last year. While revenue inclusive of tariff adjustment saw a decrease, the cost of gas sales also decreased, resulting in a lower gross profit. The company did not recommend any cash dividend, bonus shares, or right shares.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 📉 Revenue inclusive of tariff adjustment decreased to PKR 366.83 billion from PKR 398.60 billion year-over-year.
  • ⛽ Cost of gas sales decreased to PKR 324.83 billion from PKR 387.86 billion year-over-year.
  • 😟 Gross profit significantly decreased to PKR 42.00 billion from PKR 10.73 billion year-over-year.
  • 💰 Other income decreased to PKR 3.47 billion from PKR 10.88 billion year-over-year.
  • 💼 Operating profit decreased to PKR 10.72 billion from PKR 15.47 billion year-over-year.
  • 💸 Finance costs decreased to PKR 6.40 billion from PKR 9.41 billion year-over-year.
  • 😔 Profit before income tax decreased to PKR 4.32 billion from PKR 4.79 billion year-over-year.
  • 🧾 Income tax increased to PKR 1.93 billion from PKR 1.09 billion year-over-year.
  • 📉 Profit for the period decreased to PKR 2.39 billion from PKR 3.70 billion year-over-year.
  • 📉 Earnings per share (basic and diluted) decreased to PKR 3.77 from PKR 5.83 year-over-year.
  • ❌ No cash dividend was recommended by the Board of Directors.
  • 🏢 Total equity increased to PKR 71.48 billion as of March 31, 2025, compared to PKR 64.19 billion as of June 30, 2024.
  • ⚠️ Long term financing from financial institutions (secured) decreased to PKR 16.21 billion from PKR 22.99 billion.
  • 💵 Cash and bank balances decreased to PKR (135.61) billion from PKR (109.48) billion.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the Q3 2025 results, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The decreased profitability and EPS are concerning, but the company’s efforts to manage costs and maintain equity are positive signs. Further monitoring of the company’s operational efficiency, revenue generation, and response to market challenges is required. A price target cannot be recommended until there is more information and further analysis is completed. Time horizon is 6-12 months.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

⏸️ SNGP: HOLD Signal (5/10) – FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) reported its financial results for the year ended June 30, 2025. The company announced a final cash dividend of Rs. 3.00 per share, representing a 30% payout, in addition to an already paid interim dividend of Rs. 0. Revenue decreased to PKR 1,408.55 billion from PKR 1,532.91 billion, while profit after tax decreased to PKR 14.59 billion from PKR 18.98 billion. The company’s financial statements are qualified due to non-compliance with IFRS 14 presentation requirements regarding regulatory deferral accounts.

Signal: HOLD ⏸️
Strength: 5/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 💰 Final cash dividend of Rs. 3.00 per share (30%) declared for FY25.
  • 📉 Revenue decreased by 8.1% YoY from PKR 1,532.91 billion to PKR 1,408.55 billion.
  • 📉 Gross profit increased significantly from PKR 44.41 billion to PKR 80.48 billion, due to decrease in cost of gas sales.
  • 📉 Profit after tax decreased by 23.1% YoY from PKR 18.98 billion to PKR 14.59 billion.
  • 📉 Earnings per share (EPS) decreased from Rs. 29.92 to Rs. 23.01.
  • ⚠️ Auditor’s qualified opinion due to non-compliance with IFRS 14 presentation requirements.
  • ❗ Regulatory Deferral Account (RDA) balances are recognized, but presentation doesn’t comply with IFRS 14.
  • ❗ Settlement of circular debt is dependent on government resolution of intercorporate balances and gas price increases/subsidies.
  • 📅 Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 27, 2025.
  • ⛔ No bonus or right shares were announced.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the decline in profitability, regulatory compliance issues, and dependence on government policies, a HOLD recommendation is appropriate. The company faces significant challenges related to circular debt and regulatory requirements, which could limit its growth potential in the near term. The price target is contingent on the resolution of these challenges and improvements in financial performance.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

📉 TSPL: SELL Signal (9/10) – Unusual Movement in Price of the Shares

⚡ Flash Summary

Tri-Star Power Ltd. (TSPL) has reported to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) that it has observed price manipulation of its shares through illegal and unlawful means. Certain individuals and entities have allegedly attempted to manipulate the price, violating Pakistani laws and regulations, including the Companies Act, Securities Act, and regulations set forth by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP). The company highlights concerns that several companies, including Crescent Star Insurance Ltd., Weavers Pakistan (Pvt) Ltd., Bawany Air Products Ltd., and KM Enterprises (Pvt) Ltd., are orchestrating an arbitrary and illegal takeover by circumventing regulatory prerequisites. TSPL management believes a group is attempting to disrupt its operations through various illegal tactics.

Signal: SELL 📉
Strength: 9/10
Sentiment: NEGATIVE
Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

  • 🚨 TSPL reports observing price manipulation of its shares.
  • 🚫 Illegal and unlawful means are allegedly being used to manipulate the price.
  • 🏛️ Violations of the Companies Act 2017, Securities Act 2015, and SECP regulations are claimed.
  • 🎯 Companies including Crescent Star Insurance, Weavers Pakistan, Bawany Air Products, and KM Enterprises are suspected of orchestrating a takeover.
  • 🤝 These companies allegedly issued disclosures under Section 110(1) of the Securities Act, 2015 upon allegedly acquiring shareholding in TSPL.
  • 😠 TSPL believes the issuance is a malicious scheme for an arbitrary and illegal takeover.
  • 🎭 The involved companies are accused of acting in concert with individuals who previously attempted hostile takeovers.
  • 🚧 The group is allegedly circumventing the Securities Act 2015 and takeover regulations.
  • 🌪️ TSPL suspects a group is disrupting its functioning through illicit activities.
  • 📉 Tactics include cross trades and unwarranted disclosures to create chaos and artificially tamper with stock prices.
  • 💔 The aim is to diminish stakeholder confidence in TSPL.
  • 🔄 Shares acquired by initial acquirers are allegedly internally transferred through fictitious trades.
  • ⚠️ Purported acquirers are believed to be involved in illegal activities.
  • 📢 Tactics include pumping and dumping shares, acting in concert, and price manipulation through fraudulent means.
  • 📉 Artificial selling and speculative trading designed to destabilize the company’s share price.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the serious allegations of price manipulation, hostile takeover attempts, and regulatory violations, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company’s stock price is highly unstable and subject to artificial influences, making it an extremely risky investment. Price Target: To be reassessed after resolution of the alleged manipulation and clarification of the true value of TSPL.

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Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 6, 2025

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