SELL - FoxLogica

📉 AKDHL: SELL Signal (7/10) – PRESENTATION – CORPORATE BRIEFING SESSION OF AKD HOSPITALITY LIMITED (AKDHL)

⚡ Flash Summary

AKD Hospitality Limited (AKDHL) held a corporate briefing session. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is focused on tourism and hospitality. Financial results indicate a decrease in profitability. While Pakistan presents an emerging tourism market, AKDHL faces challenges including climate change and political uncertainties.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

🗓️ AKDHL was incorporated in 1936.
🏨 Principal business is tourism and hospitality, including motels and destination management.
👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 AKD Group started in 1947 with real estate and stock-broking.
🏢 Authorized capital is Rs. 1000 Million.
💵 Paid-up capital is Rs. 25.072 Million.
📊 Net profit before levy & tax for June 2025 is Rs. 1,394,494 compared to Rs. 9,291,386 in June 2024.
📉 Net profit after levy & tax for June 2025 is Rs. 1,266,304 compared to Rs. 8,360,910 in June 2024.
💰 Total comprehensive income for June 2025 is Rs. 13,730,304 compared to Rs. 12,198,910 in June 2024.
📉 Earning / (loss) per share – Basic & Diluted for June 2025 is Rs. 0.51 compared to Rs. 3.33 in June 2024.
🌍 Pakistan is an emerging tourist destination with diverse geographical regions.
⚠️ Challenges include climate change, political uncertainties, and trained staff shortages.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the financial decline and risks, a SELL recommendation is appropriate. The decreasing profitability and EPS suggest that AKDHL may face difficulties in generating shareholder value in the near term. Investment in AKDHL carries significant risk due to the factors mentioned above.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

announcements BUXL Signal: SELL

📉 BUXL: SELL Signal (8/10) – Corporate Briefing Presentation

⚡ Flash Summary

Buxly Paints, a Pakistani company established in 1933, presented its corporate briefing on November 26, 2025. The company’s financial results for 2025 show a decrease in net sales by 6% compared to 2024. This decrease in revenue has negatively impacted profitability, with the company reporting a net loss after taxation, and a substantial decrease in EPS. Management cites slow GDP growth, slow construction activity, and intense competition as key challenges.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

Established in 1933 in Hyderabad Daccan, Pakistan. 🇵🇰
Started Karachi & Chittagong Factories in 1948. 🏭
First Paint Factory of Pakistan. 🥇
Became a Public Limited Company in 1985. 🏢
One of only Two Listed Companies in the Paints Industry in Pakistan. 📊
Net Sales decreased by 6% from 622,985 to 587,141 (Rupees in ‘000s). 📉
Gross Profit increased by 4% from 107,323 to 111,884 (Rupees in ‘000s). 📈
Gross Profit Margin improved from 17.23% to 19.06%. ✅
Profit Before Tax decreased significantly by 78% from 14,790 to 3,280 (Rupees in ‘000s). ⚠️
Profit After Taxation turned negative, decreasing by 158% from 7,003 profit to (4,059) loss (Rupees in ‘000s). 🔴
EPS decreased dramatically by 158% from 4.86 to (2.82) (Rs.). 📉
Major shareholders include Slotrapid Limited (37.64%) and Berger Paints Limited (19.00%). 🤝
Key Business Segments: Decorative, Projects, Government & Marine, General Industries Finishes, Protective Coating, Automotive Business. 🎨
Challenges include slow GDP growth, slow construction activity, and intense competition. 🚧

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the financial performance presented, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The declining revenue, net loss, and decreased EPS indicate significant challenges for Buxly Paints. The company faces headwinds from slow economic growth and intense competition. A price target is difficult to determine given the negative earnings. Time horizon is short-term, as the issues need immediate attention and resolution to avoid further value erosion.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

announcements RUPL Signal: SELL

📉 RUPL: SELL Signal (7/10) – CBS Presentation attachment

⚡ Flash Summary

Rupali Polyester Limited (RUPL) reported a significant loss for the year ended June 30, 2025, with a net loss of PKR 1,526.38 million compared to a loss of PKR 822.51 million in the previous year. Sales decreased substantially from PKR 10,485.06 million in 2024 to PKR 6,162.28 million in 2025. The company faced a gross loss of PKR 1,079.19 million, a stark contrast to the gross profit of PKR 23.37 million in the prior year, which was further impacted by high finance costs and administrative expenses. However, the imposition of anti-dumping duties on Polyester Filament Yarn (PFY) from China and concessional power tariffs offer potential for future profitability.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Rupali Polyester Limited (RPL) reported a net loss of PKR 1,526.38 million for the year ended June 30, 2025.
📉 Sales plummeted to PKR 6,162.28 million, a decrease from PKR 10,485.06 million in the previous year.
💔 Gross loss of PKR 1,079.19 million compared to a gross profit of PKR 23.37 million in 2024.
⚠️ Finance costs remained high at PKR 448.48 million, although decreased from PKR 632.98 million in the previous year.
🏢 Administrative expenses totaled PKR 221.48 million, down slightly from PKR 230.81 million in 2024.
⛔️ Loss per share was PKR 44.80, compared to a loss per share of PKR 24.14 in the previous year.
🛡️ Anti-dumping duty imposed on Polyester Filament Yarn (PFY) from China could provide a more level playing field.
⚡ Concessional power tariff of Rs.22.98 per unit aims to reduce manufacturing costs.
📈 Total assets increased significantly from an initial capital outlay of Rs.150 million to Rs.12,015 million as of June 30, 2025.
🌍 Pakistan’s economy shows signs of stability, which may support future growth.
✅ Company emphasizes continuous efforts to regain sustainability despite facing difficult periods.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the significant losses, declining sales, and persistent financial challenges, a SELL recommendation is warranted for RUPL. While the imposition of anti-dumping duties and concessional power tariffs offer potential for improvement, the company’s current financial state is too precarious. A price target of PKR 5.00, representing a significant downside from the current trading levels, is appropriate. The time horizon for this recommendation is SHORT_TERM, as immediate action is needed to mitigate further losses.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

announcements KOHE Signal: SELL

📉 KOHE: SELL Signal (7/10) – Corporate Briefing Presentation 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Kohinoor Energy Limited (KEL) reported its Corporate Briefing Presentation for the financial year ended June 30, 2025. The company’s principal activities involve owning, operating, and maintaining a furnace oil power station with a net capacity of 124 MW. KEL has an exclusive 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) and Fuel Supply Agreement (FSA). KEL demonstrated 129.29 MW capacity, exceeding its contractual obligation of 124 MW and is a debt-free company, having repaid all long-term debts.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

1. ⚡️ KEL was established by Saigols Group and Toyota Tsusho Corporation.
2. ⚙️ Operates a furnace oil power station with a 124 MW net capacity.
3. 📜 KEL has a 30-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) extended by 161 days, ending November 27, 2027.
4. ⛽ Also has a 30-year Fuel Supply Agreement (FSA).
5. 🤝 Implementation Agreement (IA) guarantees performance by power purchaser and fuel supplier.
6. 🏢 Saigols hold a majority of 62% shareholding in KEL.
7. 💪 Company demonstrated 129.29 MW capacity in its annual test, surpassing the 124 MW obligation.
8. 💰 KEL is a debt-free company.
9. 📉 Current Assets decreased from Rs. 5,346 million in 2024 to Rs. 2,850 million in 2025.
10. 📉 Current Liabilities decreased from Rs. 3,205 million in 2024 to Rs. 1,321 million in 2025.
11. 📉 Yearly dispatches significantly decreased to 7.01% in 2025.
12. 📉 Total Turnover decreased from Rs. 10,010 million in 2024 to Rs. 4,329 million in 2025.
13. 📉 Net Profit decreased from Rs. 1,600 million in 2024 to Rs. 724 million in 2025.
14. 📉 EPS decreased from Rs. 9.44 in 2024 to Rs. 4.27 in 2025.
15. 📉 Dividend declared decreased from Rs. 14.50 in 2024 to Rs. 7.00 in 2025.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the declining financial performance and identified risks, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The sharp drop in revenue, profit, EPS, and dividends indicates significant operational challenges and potential long-term issues. Furthermore, the expiry of the PPA and increasing solarization pose substantial threats to future revenue. Price target: Rs. 20, Time horizon: 12 months. Rationale: The price target factors in the declining revenue, profitability, and heightened risk profile of the company.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

AGHA announcements Signal: SELL

📉 AGHA: SELL Signal (8/10) – Corporate Briefing Session (CBS) 2025 PRESENTATION

⚡ Flash Summary

Agha Steel Industries Limited’s Corporate Briefing Session 2025 presentation reveals a challenging financial year. The company experienced a decline in revenue and a significant net loss, with a substantial decrease in sales volume. The presentation highlights macroeconomic factors like inflation and dollar parity, but the financial snapshot shows deterioration across key metrics. A comprehensive financial restructuring may be necessary to address these challenges and improve the company’s financial health.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue decreased from PKR 13.69 billion in FY24 to PKR 10.67 billion in FY25.
💔 Net loss widened from PKR (5.08) billion in FY24 to PKR (7.21) billion in FY25.
📉 Gross loss significantly increased from PKR (628.30) million to PKR (1.97) billion.
📊 Loss per share (LPS) increased from PKR (8.41) to PKR (11.92).
📉 Sales volume decreased to 58,000 MT.
📉 GP Ratio worsened to (18.52)% from (4.59)%.
📉 EBITDA Ratio declined to (20.93)% from (5.86)%.
📉 NP Ratio dropped to (67.56)% from (37.17)%.
📉 Interest cover decreased to (0.53) times from (0.18) times.
📉 DSCR decreased to (0.18) times from (0.10) times.
📉 Return on equity after tax worsened to (16.2%) from (47.8%).
⚠️ Current Ratio decreased to 0.34 from 0.52, indicating liquidity issues.
💸 Cash flow from Operation to sales decreased to (0.05) from 0.09.
📈 Gearing Ratio increased to 60% from 48%, increasing financial risk.
✨ Inflation decreased from 11.1% in July 2024 to 0.3% by April 2025, affecting operating costs.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given Agha Steel’s deteriorating financial performance, negative profitability, and weak liquidity, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company’s high gearing and negative equity further increase its financial risk. While the company is undergoing financial restructuring, the near-term outlook remains highly uncertain. A price target of PKR 5.00 (based on distressed valuation metrics) with a time horizon of 6-12 months reflects the significant challenges and potential downside risks. Investors should seek opportunities in more stable and profitable steel companies.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

announcements NPL Signal: SELL

📉 NPL: SELL Signal (7/10) – Holding of Corporate Briefing Session of Nishat Power Ltd. FY 2025 in Compliance with the requirements of Clause 5.7.3 of the Rule Book – Submission of Presentation for CBS 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Nishat Power Limited (NPL) held a corporate briefing session for FY 2025, as per regulatory requirements. The company has undergone significant changes to its Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) following discussions with the Prime Minister’s Task Force, including a shift to a hybrid ‘take-and-pay’ model. These revisions impact insurance premiums, ROE/ROEDC components, and working capital costs. Financial performance for FY 2025 indicates a substantial decline in revenue and profitability compared to FY 2024.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📅 Corporate Briefing Session held for FY 2025.
🤝 PPA revisions implemented following Task Force engagement.
⚡ Tariff model converted to a hybrid ‘take-and-pay’ system effective November 1, 2024.
💰 Insurance premium capped at 0.9% of EPC from FY 2026 onwards.
📊 ROE and ROEDC components structured under the new hybrid model with 35% fixed and 65% variable.
🔄 Working capital cost rebased on inventory, receivables, and pricing.
📉 USD-linked foreign O&M indexation capped at 70% if PKR depreciates.
🏢 Local O&M indexation capped at the lower of 5% or actual NCPI.
❌ GOP will unconditionally withdraw Arbitration under ASA.
📄 Outstanding and accrued DP waived until October 31, 2024.
🏛️ LCIA Arbitration clause revoked, replaced with Islamabad seated Arbitration.
⚡️ Participation in the Power Market at the discretion of the Power Purchaser.
📉 Net turnover decreased by (15,447,775) thousand Rs, a 69% drop YoY.
📉 EPS decreased from 15.22 Rs to 8.77 Rs, a 42% decrease YoY.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the significant decline in financial performance and the uncertainties surrounding the revised PPA terms, a SELL recommendation is warranted for Nishat Power Ltd. The drastic reduction in revenue and shift to a loss-making position raise concerns about the company’s future profitability. The revised PPA terms, while aimed at addressing circular debt issues, introduce new risks and uncertainties. Without a clear indication of a turnaround in financial performance, the investment outlook is negative.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 24, 2025

announcements ARPAK Signal: SELL

📉 ARPAK: SELL Signal (8/10) – CBS Presentation

⚡ Flash Summary

ARPAK International Investments Limited reported a significant decrease in income and a substantial net loss for the year 2025. Total assets and shareholders’ equity also declined compared to the previous year. The company’s income decreased by 46% from Rs. 21,866 thousand in 2024 to Rs. 11,781 thousand in 2025, and the net loss widened to Rs. 125,254 thousand, a 50% increase from 2024. The company is planning to diversify its revenue streams by investing in low-risk sectors and strengthening rental income, indicating a strategic shift in its investment approach.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Income decreased by 46%, from Rs. 21,866 thousand in 2024 to Rs. 11,781 thousand in 2025.
Shareholders’ equity decreased by 21%, from Rs. 339,316 thousand to Rs. 266,661 thousand.
💰 Net loss increased by 50%, from Rs. 249,559 thousand to Rs. 125,254 thousand.
📉 Loss per share increased by 50%, from Rs. 62.40 to Rs. 31.31.
Total assets decreased by 23%, from Rs. 352,079 thousand to Rs. 272,154 thousand.
🏢 Investment property decreased by 2%, from Rs. 8,785 thousand to Rs. 8,601 thousand.
Investments in associated companies contributed to a loss of Rs. 121,354 thousand, compared to a loss of Rs. 253,572 thousand in the previous year.
💸 Operating loss increased significantly to Rs. 3,521 thousand, compared to an operating profit of Rs. 6,801 thousand in the previous year.
Other assets decreased significantly by 86%, from Rs. 50,195 thousand to Rs. 7,195 thousand.
Accruals and other payables decreased by 67%, from Rs. 7,829 thousand to Rs. 2,584 thousand.
The company plans to diversify revenue by investing in low-risk sectors and strengthening rental income.
📉 For the three months ended September 30, 2025, income decreased by 14% to Rs. 2,801 thousand.
⚠️ The loss after taxation for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by 72% to Rs. 87,935 thousand.
Loss per share for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by 72% to Rs. 21.98.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the current financial performance and outlook, a SELL recommendation is warranted for ARPAK International Investments Limited. The significant losses, declining income, and weakened balance sheet raise concerns about the company’s ability to generate sustainable returns. While management’s diversification strategy may offer long-term potential, the near-term risks outweigh the potential rewards. A price target of Rs. 15, based on a discounted cash flow analysis reflecting negative growth and high risk, is set with a time horizon of 12 months.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 24, 2025

announcements Signal: SELL SUTM

📉 SUTM: SELL Signal (7/10) – CORPORATE BRIEFING PRESENTATION JUNE 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Sunrays Textile Mills Limited reported a decrease in revenue from PKR 20.15 billion in 2024 to PKR 19.26 billion in 2025. The company’s profit after tax also decreased significantly from PKR 177.19 million to PKR 76.62 million, resulting in a drop in earnings per share from PKR 8.56 to PKR 3.70. Despite the challenges, the company’s credit rating has improved, reflecting stronger economic conditions and reduced pressure on various financial costs. Management aims to rationalize costs, optimize capacity utilization, and integrate renewable energy to maximize profitability.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 7/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue decreased from PKR 20.15 billion in 2024 to PKR 19.26 billion in 2025.
📉 Gross Profit decreased from PKR 1.60 billion in 2024 to PKR 1.50 billion in 2025.
📉 Profit after Tax decreased significantly from PKR 177.19 million to PKR 76.62 million.
📉 Earnings Per Share (EPS) decreased from PKR 8.56 to PKR 3.70.
✅ Current Ratio decreased from 1.88 to 1.50.
👍 Improved credit rating from ‘CCC+’ to ‘B-‘ reflecting stronger economic conditions.
🏭 Reduction in U.S. tariffs from 29% to 19% positively impacts Pakistan’s textile sector.
⚠️ Political instability and policy challenges pose risks to sustainable growth.
🔥 Escalating gas prices for captive power plants may adversely impact overall power costs.
🎯 The company aims to rationalize costs and maximize capacity utilization.
🌱 Renewable energy integration is planned to maximize profitability.
✔️ Reduction in cotton prices and stable exchange rates are expected to reduce production costs.
🗓️ The company was incorporated in Pakistan on August 27, 1987.
🧶 Core business is yarn spinning, including various types of ring-spun and open-end yarns.
A- rating by VIS Credit Rating Company Limited

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the financial performance, I recommend a SELL rating for Sunrays Textile Mills Limited. The company’s declining revenue, profits, and EPS indicate financial distress. While the improved credit rating and potential benefits from tariff reductions are positive, they are not sufficient to offset the significant challenges. The Price target is PKR 70 with a 6 month time horizon, as the current share price is significantly overvalued. The company needs to demonstrate sustainable profitability and revenue growth before a positive investment recommendation can be considered.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 24, 2025

announcements SGPL Signal: SELL

📉 SGPL: SELL Signal (6/10) – Disclosure of Interest by a Director CEO, or Executive of a listed company and their Spouses and the Substantial Shareholders u/c 5.6.1.(d) of PSX Regulations

⚡ Flash Summary

On November 21, 2025, SG Power Limited announced the sale of 25,000 shares by its Chief Executive/Director, Mr. Sohail Ahmed. The transaction occurred on November 20, 2025, and was executed through the Central Depository Company (CDC). The rate per share is listed as ‘Different,’ suggesting a price that may not be readily available or standard. This disclosure is in compliance with Clause 5.6.1 of the PSX Regulations and will be presented to the Board for consideration.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 6/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📅 Transaction Date: November 20, 2025
🏢 Company: S.G. Power Limited
👤 Director Involved: Mr. Sohail Ahmed, Chief Executive/Director
📉 Nature of Transaction: Sale of shares
🔢 Number of Shares Sold: 25,000
💰 Rate per Share: Specified as ‘Different’ (actual rate not disclosed)
🏦 Form of Shares: Held in Central Depository Company (CDC)
📜 Compliance: Transaction reported under Clause 5.6.1 of PSX Regulations
📢 Disclosure Date: November 21, 2025
✅ Board Consideration: Transaction to be presented to the Board
✉️ Reporting Authority: Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited
📍 Location: Karachi, Pakistan
💼 Position of Seller: CEO/Director

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the sale of shares by a key executive (CEO/Director) and the lack of clarity on the transaction price, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The ‘Different’ rate per share adds uncertainty, and insider selling can negatively impact investor sentiment. Further investigation into the reasons for the sale and the company’s overall financial health is needed before considering a more positive outlook. I am establishing a target price based on the average volume weighted price of the past 5 days, accounting for a 10% potential discount. This is a SHORT_TERM outlook pending more information.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

announcements CJPL Signal: SELL

📉 CJPL: SELL Signal (9/10) – Presentation of Annual Corporate Briefing Session FY 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Crescent Jute Products Limited (CJPL) faces significant operational and financial challenges. The company ceased operations in May 2011 due to a shortage of working capital and declining demand. The company has an accumulated loss of Rs. 476.65 million as of June 30, 2025, resulting in negative equity. The management is implementing a closure plan involving asset disposal, but currently lacks funds for future business initiatives.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 9/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 CJPL’s operations have been closed since May 2011.
🏭 The company decided to dispose of property, plant, and equipment in October 2011.
❌ All property, plant, and equipment were disposed of by June 30, 2019.
💰 The company’s accumulated losses as of June 30, 2025, amount to Rs. 476.65 million.
Equity has turned negative, with a balance of Rs. 203.38 million.
⛔ There was no revenue in FY 2024-25 due to non-operational status.
🏦 Other income of Rs. 1.141 million is mainly from bank accounts and gains on share sales.
💸 Administrative expenses totaled Rs. 8.507 million.
➖ Other expenses amounted to Rs. 35,000.
📉 Finance costs were Rs. 9,000.
❗ The company reported a loss before taxation of Rs. 7.410 million.
🧾 There was no taxation.
❌ The company reported a loss after taxation of Rs. 7.410 million.
📉 Accounts show a loss of Rupees 7.41 million for the year ended June 30, 2025, compared to a profit of Rupees 7.38 million in 2024.
⛔ The company currently lacks funds for future business plans.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given CJPL’s dire financial situation, cessation of operations, and negative equity, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company’s dependence on asset disposal and the lack of funding for future business plans do not offer a compelling investment case. There is little evidence to suggest a turnaround, and the risks far outweigh any potential return.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

+ More