Strength-8 - FoxLogica

📈 AKDSL: BUY Signal (8/10) – Presentation – Corporate Briefing Session 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

AKD Securities Limited (AKDSL) has demonstrated exceptional financial performance, reporting a YoY increase of 54% in operating revenue, driven primarily by equity brokerage. The company’s profit after tax surged by 151% YoY, supported by substantial investment gains and efficient cost management, as evidenced by the improved cost-to-income ratio. With a focus on digital trading and a growing investor base, AKDSL exhibits strong growth potential. Current Account Deficit is set to remain in control at 0.4% of GDP in FY25 with slight depreciation in currency.

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📈 Operating revenue increased by 54% YoY, reaching PKR 1,953.7 million.
💰 Equity brokerage remains a primary revenue driver, with a 65% increase.
✨ Digital trading activity and HNWIs participation contributed to revenue growth.
💸 Non-equity brokerage increased by 27% YoY.
📉 Investment gains surged by 479% YoY to PKR 2,494.8 million.
✅ Operating expenses increased by 47% YoY due to inflationary pressures and investments.
💡 Cost-to-income ratio improved by 29% YoY, indicating cost management.
📉 Financial charges decreased by 40% YoY due to debt repayment.
📊 Profit before tax increased by 148% YoY, totaling PKR 4,136.3 million.
🧾 Profit after tax increased by 151% YoY, reaching PKR 3,156.3 million.
✔️ Earning per share (EPS) increased by 150% YoY to PKR 5.66.
🏦 Break-up value per share increased by 28% to PKR 21.50.
💸 Dividend payout at 20%.
🌱 Return on equity (ROE) increased by 97% to 26%.
✔️ PSX average volumes per day increased by 35%.

🎯 Investment Thesis

AKDSL exhibits a strong BUY signal due to its impressive revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and robust digital trading platform. The company’s strategic focus on equity brokerage and high-net-worth individuals positions it well for future growth. The current price is expected to increase with a price target based on the current EPS and a conservative PE ratio in line with peers.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

AKDSL announcements Signal: BUY

📈 AKDSL: BUY Signal (8/10) – Presentation – Corporate Briefing Session 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📈 Operating revenue increased by 54% YoY, reaching PKR 1,953.7 million.
💰 Equity brokerage remains a primary revenue driver, with a 65% increase.
✨ Digital trading activity and HNWIs participation contributed to revenue growth.
💸 Non-equity brokerage increased by 27% YoY.
📉 Investment gains surged by 479% YoY to PKR 2,494.8 million.
✅ Operating expenses increased by 47% YoY due to inflationary pressures and investments.
💡 Cost-to-income ratio improved by 29% YoY, indicating cost management.
📉 Financial charges decreased by 40% YoY due to debt repayment.
📊 Profit before tax increased by 148% YoY, totaling PKR 4,136.3 million.
🧾 Profit after tax increased by 151% YoY, reaching PKR 3,156.3 million.
✔️ Earning per share (EPS) increased by 150% YoY to PKR 5.66.
🏦 Break-up value per share increased by 28% to PKR 21.50.
💸 Dividend payout at 20%.
🌱 Return on equity (ROE) increased by 97% to 26%.
✔️ PSX average volumes per day increased by 35%.

🎯 Investment Thesis

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

AGHA announcements Signal: SELL

📉 AGHA: SELL Signal (8/10) – Corporate Briefing Session (CBS) 2025 PRESENTATION

⚡ Flash Summary

Agha Steel Industries Limited’s Corporate Briefing Session 2025 presentation reveals a challenging financial year. The company experienced a decline in revenue and a significant net loss, with a substantial decrease in sales volume. The presentation highlights macroeconomic factors like inflation and dollar parity, but the financial snapshot shows deterioration across key metrics. A comprehensive financial restructuring may be necessary to address these challenges and improve the company’s financial health.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Revenue decreased from PKR 13.69 billion in FY24 to PKR 10.67 billion in FY25.
💔 Net loss widened from PKR (5.08) billion in FY24 to PKR (7.21) billion in FY25.
📉 Gross loss significantly increased from PKR (628.30) million to PKR (1.97) billion.
📊 Loss per share (LPS) increased from PKR (8.41) to PKR (11.92).
📉 Sales volume decreased to 58,000 MT.
📉 GP Ratio worsened to (18.52)% from (4.59)%.
📉 EBITDA Ratio declined to (20.93)% from (5.86)%.
📉 NP Ratio dropped to (67.56)% from (37.17)%.
📉 Interest cover decreased to (0.53) times from (0.18) times.
📉 DSCR decreased to (0.18) times from (0.10) times.
📉 Return on equity after tax worsened to (16.2%) from (47.8%).
⚠️ Current Ratio decreased to 0.34 from 0.52, indicating liquidity issues.
💸 Cash flow from Operation to sales decreased to (0.05) from 0.09.
📈 Gearing Ratio increased to 60% from 48%, increasing financial risk.
✨ Inflation decreased from 11.1% in July 2024 to 0.3% by April 2025, affecting operating costs.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given Agha Steel’s deteriorating financial performance, negative profitability, and weak liquidity, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The company’s high gearing and negative equity further increase its financial risk. While the company is undergoing financial restructuring, the near-term outlook remains highly uncertain. A price target of PKR 5.00 (based on distressed valuation metrics) with a time horizon of 6-12 months reflects the significant challenges and potential downside risks. Investors should seek opportunities in more stable and profitable steel companies.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 25, 2025

announcements ARPAK Signal: SELL

📉 ARPAK: SELL Signal (8/10) – CBS Presentation

⚡ Flash Summary

ARPAK International Investments Limited reported a significant decrease in income and a substantial net loss for the year 2025. Total assets and shareholders’ equity also declined compared to the previous year. The company’s income decreased by 46% from Rs. 21,866 thousand in 2024 to Rs. 11,781 thousand in 2025, and the net loss widened to Rs. 125,254 thousand, a 50% increase from 2024. The company is planning to diversify its revenue streams by investing in low-risk sectors and strengthening rental income, indicating a strategic shift in its investment approach.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Income decreased by 46%, from Rs. 21,866 thousand in 2024 to Rs. 11,781 thousand in 2025.
Shareholders’ equity decreased by 21%, from Rs. 339,316 thousand to Rs. 266,661 thousand.
💰 Net loss increased by 50%, from Rs. 249,559 thousand to Rs. 125,254 thousand.
📉 Loss per share increased by 50%, from Rs. 62.40 to Rs. 31.31.
Total assets decreased by 23%, from Rs. 352,079 thousand to Rs. 272,154 thousand.
🏢 Investment property decreased by 2%, from Rs. 8,785 thousand to Rs. 8,601 thousand.
Investments in associated companies contributed to a loss of Rs. 121,354 thousand, compared to a loss of Rs. 253,572 thousand in the previous year.
💸 Operating loss increased significantly to Rs. 3,521 thousand, compared to an operating profit of Rs. 6,801 thousand in the previous year.
Other assets decreased significantly by 86%, from Rs. 50,195 thousand to Rs. 7,195 thousand.
Accruals and other payables decreased by 67%, from Rs. 7,829 thousand to Rs. 2,584 thousand.
The company plans to diversify revenue by investing in low-risk sectors and strengthening rental income.
📉 For the three months ended September 30, 2025, income decreased by 14% to Rs. 2,801 thousand.
⚠️ The loss after taxation for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by 72% to Rs. 87,935 thousand.
Loss per share for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by 72% to Rs. 21.98.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the current financial performance and outlook, a SELL recommendation is warranted for ARPAK International Investments Limited. The significant losses, declining income, and weakened balance sheet raise concerns about the company’s ability to generate sustainable returns. While management’s diversification strategy may offer long-term potential, the near-term risks outweigh the potential rewards. A price target of Rs. 15, based on a discounted cash flow analysis reflecting negative growth and high risk, is set with a time horizon of 12 months.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 24, 2025

announcements ECOP Signal: BUY

📈 ECOP: BUY Signal (8/10) – Corporate Briefing Session Presentation of EcoPack Limited – FY25

⚡ Flash Summary

EcoPack Limited’s FY25 corporate briefing highlights a year of substantial growth and strategic expansion. The company reported a significant increase in revenue, driven by strong performance in both PET preforms and bottles. Strategic initiatives, including expanding supplies to CocaCola and manufacturing rPET, are expected to further boost growth. The company’s focus on enhancing its energy mix and acquiring land for future expansion indicates a commitment to long-term sustainability and market leadership.

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

✅ EcoPack’s revenue increased from PKR 6.212 billion in 2024 to PKR 7.114 billion in 2025.
📈 PET Bottles revenue increased from PKR 4.025 billion to PKR 4.554 billion.
🏭 PET Preforms revenue increased from PKR 2.187 billion to PKR 2.560 billion.
Capacity utilization for PET Bottles increased from 67% to 73%.
Capacity utilization for PET Preforms increased from 65% to 79%.
🌱 Introduction of rPET (Recycled PET) manufacturing.
🤝 Expanded supplies to CocaCola Beverages Pakistan Limited.
☀️ Improving energy mix by enhancing Solar Footprint.
🌎 Significant sales growth of National beverage brands due to the Gaza war sentiment.
🏢 Acquisition of land for future expansions.

🎯 Investment Thesis

EcoPack is a BUY. The company’s strong financial performance, strategic initiatives, and expansion plans suggest continued growth and profitability. A price target of PKR 85 within the next 12-18 months is justified, based on projected earnings growth and increased market capitalization. This assumes continued growth of the packaging industry.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 24, 2025

announcements MQTM Signal: SELL

📉 MQTM: SELL Signal (8/10) – PRESENTATION FOR CORPORATE BREIFING SESSION

⚡ Flash Summary

Maqbool Textile Mills Limited’s corporate briefing session presentation provides a glimpse into the company’s performance and future outlook. The company has a spinning capacity of 82,224 spindles and 576 MVS spindles and manufactures yarn. Turnover has decreased from Rs. 10,281 million in 2024 to Rs. 8,459 million in 2025. Net profit has significantly declined, resulting in substantial losses, with EPS also turning negative.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

🏭 Maqbool Textile Mills operates four spinning units with a substantial capacity.
📉 Turnover decreased from Rs. 10,281 million in 2024 to Rs. 8,459 million in 2025.
⚠️ The company experienced a net loss of Rs. (827.61) million in 2025.
📉 EPS declined to Rs. (44.90) in 2025.
🚫 No dividends were declared in 2023, 2024 and 2025.
📊 Current assets decreased from Rs. 3,844 million in 2024 to Rs. 3,540 million in 2025.
Liabilities increased from Rs. 5,445 million in 2024 to Rs. 5,203 million in 2025.
⚠️ The company faces challenges like fluctuating raw material prices and higher costs of doing business.
🌍 Economic instability and geopolitical issues pose risks.
🤝 The company engages in corporate social responsibility, including free medical facilities and group life insurance for employees.
📉 Significant decline in profitability from Rs. 268.5 million profit in 2022 to Rs. (827.61) million loss in 2025

🎯 Investment Thesis

Based on the current financial performance and the risks highlighted in the presentation, a SELL recommendation is warranted. The declining revenue, significant losses, and negative EPS indicate a need for substantial operational and strategic changes. Without a clear turnaround plan and signs of improvement, the stock is likely to underperform. Price Target: Significant downside. Time Horizon: Short to Medium Term.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

announcements Signal: BUY SITC

📈 SITC: BUY Signal (8/10) – CORPORATE BRIEFING SESSION FOR THE YEAR ENDED JUNE 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Sitara Chemical Industries Limited (SITC) reported strong financial results for the year ended June 30, 2025. Revenue increased by 4.56% to Rs. 32,530 million, while net profit soared by 60.42% to Rs. 939 million. Earnings per share also increased by 60.42% to Rs. 43.83. The company’s expansion of its Coal Fired Power Plant is underway, which will contribute to cost-efficient operations.

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📈 Revenue increased by 4.56% to Rs. 32,530 million in FY25 from Rs. 31,111.88 million in FY24.
💰 Gross Profit increased by 14.22% to Rs. 5,620 million.
🚀 Net Profit surged by 60.42% to Rs. 939 million.
⭐ Earnings per Share (EPS) increased by 60.42% to Rs. 43.83.
📊 EBITDA increased by 9.38% to Rs. 5,295 million.
💹 Gross Profit margin improved to 17.27% from 15.81% in the previous year.
✅ Total Assets increased by 17.27% to Rs. 47,509 million.
🛡️ Shareholders’ Equity increased by 4.44% to Rs. 18,866 million.
💼 Market Capitalization increased significantly by 43.24% to Rs. 10,625 million.
💸 Cash Dividend per Share declared at Rs. 11.00.
⚡️ Expansion of Coal Fired Power Plant (CFPP) is in the commissioning phase with expected operational benefits.
📉 Average inflation dropped to 4.7% from 26.0% last year.
⚠️ Key challenges include potential increases in natural gas/RLNG and coal prices, PKR depreciation, and weak demand.
A+ (Long-Term) and A-2 (Short-Term) credit ratings reaffirmed by VIS Credit Rating Company Ltd.

🎯 Investment Thesis

BUY. Sitara Chemical Industries Limited presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong financial performance, expansion plans, and improving economic conditions. The company’s focus on operational efficiency and strategic expansions will drive future growth. The company’s reaffirmation of its A+ credit rating is positive. A price target of PKR 550.00 with a medium-term horizon (12-18 months) is justified, based on continued earnings growth.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

announcements GCIL Signal: BUY

📈 GCIL: BUY Signal (8/10) – Presentation of Corporate Briefing Session – Ghani Chemical Industries Limited

⚡ Flash Summary

Ghani Chemical Industries Limited (GCIL) presented its corporate briefing for FY 2025, highlighting strong performance despite macroeconomic challenges. Net sales increased year-over-year, driven by healthcare gases, and gross profit margin improved through operational efficiencies. The company’s EPS rose significantly from Rs. 1.58 in FY24 to Rs. 3.92 in FY25. GCIL has also commissioned its fifth and largest ASU plant at Hattar SEZ, expecting it to be a cost-efficient unit with tax-exempt profits.

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

🏭 GCIL commissioned its 5th and largest ASU plant at Hattar SEZ in April 2025 with a capacity of 275 TPD.
💰 Sales – Gross increased from PKR 6,395 million in FY24 to PKR 8,739 million in FY25.
📈 Sales – Net rose from PKR 5,437 million in FY24 to PKR 7,435 million in FY25.
✅ Gross Profit surged from PKR 1,613 million in FY24 to PKR 3,412 million in FY25.
🚀 Profit before tax more than doubled from PKR 1,284 million in FY24 to PKR 2,639 million in FY25.
🌟 Profit after tax witnessed substantial growth from PKR 786 million in FY24 to PKR 2,016 million in FY25.
💸 Earning per share (EPS) increased significantly from PKR 1.58 in FY24 to PKR 3.92 in FY25.
💪 EBITDA improved from PKR 1,865 million in FY24 to PKR 3,313 million in FY25.
🌱 Total Assets remained robust at PKR 16.2 billion, despite the demerger of the calcium carbide project.
🏦 Shareholder Equity stood at PKR 9.2 billion, driven by retained earnings.
🤝 Long-term supply agreements with Attock Refinery and Engro Polymer & Chemicals contribute to stable revenues.
🚢 Supplies gas for ship cuttings at Gadani Beach, one of the world’s busiest shipbreaking yards.
⚕️ Medical gas sales to hospitals represent a consistent and high-revenue stream.
🌍 Country-wide distribution network enhances geographical reach.
💨 Expansion into LPG sector with a 450 MT storage & filling plant.

🎯 Investment Thesis

GCIL is a BUY. The company has demonstrated strong financial performance in FY25 with substantial growth in revenue, profitability, and EPS. The commissioning of the new plant at Hattar SEZ is expected to further boost its growth prospects. The company’s focus on high-growth sectors such as healthcare and industrial gases positions it well for the future. Price Target: PKR 60.00. Time Horizon: Medium Term (12-18 months).

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

announcements GCIL Signal: BUY

📈 GCIL: BUY Signal (8/10) – Presentation of Corporate Briefing Session – Ghani Chemical Industries Limited REVOKED

⚡ Flash Summary

Ghani Chemical Industries Limited (GCIL) has released its Corporate Briefing Presentation for FY 2025, highlighting significant growth and strategic expansions. The company’s revenue has increased substantially, driven by healthcare gas sales and operational efficiencies. GCIL’s recent commissioning of the largest ASU plant in Hattar SEZ and expansion into the LPG sector signals future growth potential. Despite macroeconomic challenges, GCIL demonstrates strong performance and improved profitability.

Signal: BUY 📈

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: POSITIVE

Time Horizon: MEDIUM_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📈 Sales – Net increased from PKR 5.437 billion in FY24 to PKR 7.435 billion in FY25, a 36.7% increase.
💰 Gross Profit surged from PKR 1.613 billion in FY24 to PKR 3.412 billion in FY25, more than doubling.
💸 Profit after tax grew significantly from PKR 786 million in FY24 to PKR 2.016 billion in FY25, a 156.5% increase.
⭐ EPS increased from PKR 1.58 in FY24 to PKR 3.92 in FY25, a 148.1% improvement.
🏭 The company commissioned its fifth and largest 275 TPD ASU Plant at Hattar SEZ in April 2025.
🤝 Long-term supply agreements with Attock Refinery and Engro Polymer & Chemicals ensure stable revenue streams.
🛡️ Achieved ISO certifications, including FSSC 22000 and ISO 45001:2018, highlighting commitment to quality and safety.
🧪 Expansion into the LPG sector with a 450 MT storage & filling plant at Phool Nagar.
🌍 Focus on Greenhouse Gas Reduction through a joint project in Sindh to capture and process cold vent/exhaust gases.
🏥 Medical gas sales to hospitals remain a consistent and high revenue stream.
🚢 Supplies gas for shipbreaking at Gadani Beach, contributing to Pakistan’s steel demand.
🏦 Total Assets stand at PKR 16.2 billion despite the demerger of the calcium carbide project.
✅ Equity driven by retained earnings amounts to PKR 9.2 billion.

🎯 Investment Thesis

GCIL is a BUY. The company’s strong financial performance in FY25, strategic expansions, and commitment to operational efficiency make it an attractive investment. The commissioning of the new ASU plant, expansion into the LPG sector, and focus on greenhouse gas reduction provide significant growth opportunities. Based on the improved EPS and growth prospects, a price target of PKR 70 is set, with a time horizon of 12-18 months.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

announcements SHCM Signal: SELL

📉 SHCM: SELL Signal (8/10) – Presentation of Corporate Briefing Session for the year ended June 30, 2025

⚡ Flash Summary

Shadman Cotton Mills Ltd. reported a challenging year for the year ended June 30, 2025, marked by a significant decline in net turnover. Revenue decreased from PKR 731.31 million in 2024 to PKR 509.96 million in 2025. The company experienced a gross loss of PKR 19.67 million compared to a gross profit of PKR 4.93 million in the prior year. This resulted in a loss after taxation of PKR 16.57 million, a substantial decrease from a loss of PKR 108.70 million in the previous year.

Signal: SELL 📉

Strength: 8/10

Sentiment: NEGATIVE

Time Horizon: SHORT_TERM

📌 Key Takeaways

📉 Net turnover decreased significantly to PKR 509.96 million in 2025 from PKR 731.31 million in 2024.
😔 The company reported a gross loss of PKR 19.67 million in 2025, compared to a gross profit of PKR 4.93 million in 2024.
❗️ Operating profit increased to PKR 13.92 million in 2025 from PKR 6.19 million in 2024.
💸 Loss before levies and taxation increased to PKR 28.93 million in 2025 from PKR 12.82 million in 2024.
📉 Loss after taxation was PKR 16.57 million in 2025, compared to PKR 108.70 million in 2024.
🌍 Geographical sales show a significant decrease in sales to the United Kingdom from PKR 62.62 million to PKR 54.16 million.
🇪🇸 Sales to Spain decreased from PKR 173.16 million to zero.
🇵🇱 Sales to Poland decreased from PKR 212.20 million to zero.
🇵🇰 Local sales increased from PKR 188.40 million to PKR 316.51 million.
📊 Export sales decreased from PKR 542.91 million to PKR 193.45 million.
⚠️ Three major customers account for more than 10% of total sales.
❗️The company operates as a single segment.
🇵🇰 All non-current assets and sales are originated from Pakistan.

🎯 Investment Thesis

Given the significant decrease in revenue and the shift to a gross loss, a SELL recommendation is warranted for Shadman Cotton Mills. The company’s financial performance indicates potential struggles in maintaining profitability and market share. The lack of diversification in customer base adds to the risk profile. Due to these issues, a significant return is very unlikely.

View Original PDF

Disclaimer: AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Written by: FoxLogica News Analysis

Published on: November 21, 2025

+ More